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Good to see you making some videos again, I’ve been missing the content
He is a scammer telling you fake information to shill his “platform” that is a total waste of money.
Wonderful educational video. Thank you for your service 🙂
The ASX 200 total return since Jan 2022 is 1.6% p.a. . Cash return is currently 5% p.a. , with the RBA target rate at 4.1% . CPI rate is 4.9% and reducing . Patience is a virtue 🙂.
Stocks obviously dont always go up, but keeping capital invested in productive assets has always been the way to grow wealth.
agreed, as long as not bought in crazy situations, which rarely happens but can happen. For example, 20 year treasury bond purchase in 2020, did not end well in 2022. For stock market, US has never been too badly overvalued. Japan has been in the 80s.
the best channel !!! thank you for your videos and greetings from Argentina
When they start printing again it is the sign that you should put your money into market. –> More money printed = higher prices for all assets
Yes that’s true in some sense but excess money also fuels speculative bubbles which can go bust
Wow, thanks for continuing to update us 👍 I have to say to educated. Just off your YouTube video alone, I was up to $26,700 last week and will be closing this week up $46,500… I really appreciate you 🙏
That’s true. Most people today have been getting a lot of money in the stocks market and forex trading with an expert
As a beginner who doesn’t understand how the stocks market really work and you really want to make a profit from it. I will advise you to first step working with a professional broker
I highly recommend Mrs. Celeste Jane, she’s my current trader, and her strategies are working
She’s a great personality in the state 🇺🇲 I countlessly share my experience with co-workers at work, on how I made $32,000 from $8,000 in 14 days of trading
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yep the future looks bleak, but all we can do is to try and find those rare opportunities
Great video Sven. I would like to listen your opinion on Howard Mark’s recent memo like Sea Change where he think that the extreme low interest rate from 2009 to 2020 is abnormal in history. He think that current (high) interest rate is normal, he conclude that whatever strategy work in 2009-2020 will no longer be working in coming future.
Sven, it is good to have you back.
Thanks for sharing your view. While PE has risen on avg. I think it is reasonable to factor in the advent of cap-ex light companies like google and msft, that do not have to lay down a lot of cash for depreciating assets to grow earnings. While the absolute number for the PE has risen, I think PE as a yardstick for valuation has to be evaluated in the context of today’s companies.
Earnings take depreciation into account, if one uses PE. Free cash flow takes capex into account, if one uses P/FCF. Only when considering P/S, does one need to factor in higher gross margins of software businesses.
Above, I have listed first order effects. However, you are right in terms of second order effects. By having a good balance sheet with low debt, the mega cap tech has higher quality – both in much lower risk of bankruptcy which reduces equity risk premium that affects PE; and also by reducing earnings volatility as there is no fixed interest cost to service debt. These quality factors do warrant a higher PE.
Actually in general stocks go up in the long term because you buy in the present future and uncertain cash flows at a discount. You have a Ph.D. in economics you can’t possibly not know this
I’ve asked this question before but didn’t really get an answer. Given the massive expanse of Index Funds through companies like Vanguard and Blackrock,etc and the amount of new people who are now in the market through passive investing like index funds but also just active investing using all these new cheap stock apps would that not artificially increase PE’s on average due to sheer volume vs prior to say 2000? I know this doesn’t actually make the underlining companies more valuable as for as earnings or revenue, but if we expect go forward this new population of passive Index fund investors and newly active stock app investors, is that not something to consider when comparing with the history of when this didn’t occur prior to 2000 or even 90s?
The market trend can turn around very quickly. In fact, the indexes often switch from a bear market to a bull market when the news is at its worst and the mood of investors is at its lowest point. I read an article of people that grossed profits up to $150k during this crash, what are the best stocks to buy now or put on a watchlist?
Investors should be cautious about their exposure and be wary of new buys, especially during inflation. Such high yields in this recession is only possible under the supervision of a professional or trusted advisor.
True, initially I wasn’t quite impressed with my gains, opposed to my previous performances, I was doing so badly, figured I needed to diverssify into better assets, I touched base with a portfolio-advisor and that same year, I pulled a net gain of $550k…that’s like 7times more than I average on my own.
that’s impressive!, I could really use the expertise of this advisors , my portfolio has been down bad….who’s the person guiding you.
There are a lot of independent advisors you might look into. But i work with *Heather Lee Larioni* and I have been working together for nearly four years, and she is excellent. You could proceed with her if she satisfies your discretion. I endorse her.
Thanks for sharing, I just looked her up on the web and I would say she really has an impressive background in investing. I will write her an e-mail shortly.
I think the only way interest rates will be reduced is when inflation is “less” than 2%. At 2% inflation, it will be assumed to be under control with the prevailing interest rates in place. Therefore, the expectation of interest rate decreases are very likely further off than stated. This is perhaps semantics to the message of the video, but I think reinforces the message of rate decreases being further off than the hopium offered in the media.
the market PE excluding the “MAGNIFICENT SEVEN” is not at 25 but much cheaper…there are more opportunities than few years ago
We had 2 big crashes in 3 years, stock market has a reasonable room to grow the next years after this exceptionally bad times, moreover rates and inflation are going down.
I love your videos!))
It’s good to see you in action again. You didn’t post any video vor a long time. I guess you enjoyed your free time with your family.