Wall Street Is Always Drinking Its Own KOOL AID, With The Government…

Guide to the markets 2023 gives an excellent description of what is Wall Street prices in at the current minute and what are the expectations. Needless to state the expectations are pretty rosy.

0:00 Guide To Markets
0:56
3:11 Profits
5:07 Recession Reaction
5:54 Deficits
7:32 Inflation
8:00 Monetary Policy
12:10 Investing

no crash in 2022 –

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Wall Street Is Always Drinking Its Own KOOL AID, With The Government…

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50 Comments

    1. What_sApp+๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ says:

      ๐ŸŽ„๐ŸŽ„แด›สœแด€ษดแด‹s า“แดส€ แดกแด€แด›แด„สœษชษดษข.
      sแด‡ษดแด… แด€ แดแด‡๊œฑ๊œฑแด€ษขแด‡ แดษด
      แดกสœแด€แด›sแด€แด˜แด˜โœ™๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ.

    1. What_sApp+๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ says:

      ๐ŸŽ„๐ŸŽ„แด›สœแด€ษดแด‹s า“แดส€ แดกแด€แด›แด„สœษชษดษข.
      sแด‡ษดแด… แด€ แดแด‡๊œฑ๊œฑแด€ษขแด‡ แดษด
      แดกสœแด€แด›sแด€แด˜แด˜โœ™๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ.

    1. What_sApp+๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ says:

      ๐ŸŽ„๐ŸŽ„แด›สœแด€ษดแด‹s า“แดส€ แดกแด€แด›แด„สœษชษดษข.
      sแด‡ษดแด… แด€ แดแด‡๊œฑ๊œฑแด€ษขแด‡ แดษด
      แดกสœแด€แด›sแด€แด˜แด˜โœ™๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ.

  1. I don’t want to be a hater but i don’t find the average PE of the last 100 years revelant for today. Imagine the world back then. It is like estimating the USA army strenght by how well it performed in the second world war. The 2023 army has nothing in common with the 1940 army.

    1. Earnings are still earnings and price is still price. What has actually changed in that regard? If you buy a property for 1 million and the rent allows you to make a net income of 100k per year, you have made 10% on your investment, regardless of the year being 2020 or 1920. Yield is yield. When the current earnings yield of the market is lower, you can expect lower long term returns, unless of course you expect earnings to grow faster than average over the next few years.

    2. It would be a little more like comparing the army, how large the army was, and the weapons vs other armies, low large their army was, and their weapons over time.
      No, not a perfect correlation with 100% relevance but price always changes and earnings always change so it reflects a lot of that change rather than something static.

    3. What_sApp+๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ says:

      ๐ŸŽ„๐ŸŽ„แด›สœแด€ษดแด‹s า“แดส€ แดกแด€แด›แด„สœษชษดษข.
      sแด‡ษดแด… แด€ แดแด‡๊œฑ๊œฑแด€ษขแด‡ แดษด
      แดกสœแด€แด›sแด€แด˜แด˜โœ™๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ.

  2. Great video. I had not thought of inflation remaining high for a while but it does make sense when you think about productivity not raising as fast as demand because it is much slower at increasing. Very much looking forward to the real estate part if you do one. I don’t cover real estate, but my former classmates do so i have curiosity about it.

    1. What_sApp+๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ says:

      ๐ŸŽ„๐ŸŽ„แด›สœแด€ษดแด‹s า“แดส€ แดกแด€แด›แด„สœษชษดษข.
      sแด‡ษดแด… แด€ แดแด‡๊œฑ๊œฑแด€ษขแด‡ แดษด
      แดกสœแด€แด›sแด€แด˜แด˜โœ™๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ.

  3. I always see you look at the sp500 graph, would it not be better to look at the SP500 TR (total return graph) since that integrates the dividends reinvestments so total return. It will give you a better perspective of stock market returns than just sp500 in my opinion.

    1. dividends have been below 2% over the past 30years, so it is not that relevant

    2. What_sApp+๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ says:

      ๐ŸŽ„๐ŸŽ„แด›สœแด€ษดแด‹s า“แดส€ แดกแด€แด›แด„สœษชษดษข.
      sแด‡ษดแด… แด€ แดแด‡๊œฑ๊œฑแด€ษขแด‡ แดษด
      แดกสœแด€แด›sแด€แด˜แด˜โœ™๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ

  4. Sven please do a video on ryman healthcare, it’s an interesting pick of a cockroach business, and betting on people getting older. It’s starting to look real cheap, due to fear of Australia and New Zealand tanking, but it is exacerbated .

    1. What_sApp+๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ says:

      ๐ŸŽ„๐ŸŽ„แด›สœแด€ษดแด‹s า“แดส€ แดกแด€แด›แด„สœษชษดษข.
      sแด‡ษดแด… แด€ แดแด‡๊œฑ๊œฑแด€ษขแด‡ แดษด
      แดกสœแด€แด›sแด€แด˜แด˜โœ™๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ

    2. What_sApp+๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ says:

      โ˜๏ธโ˜๏ธFor Help/Guidance on building investing/financial portfolio ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€

  5. Since the year 2000, the SP500 has only grown about 4.6% annually, not counting dividends.
    That was a time of irrational exuberance, and 2009 was excess fear. It’s difficult to filter through the noise, and gauge where we are at the present moment in market. Good investments are always out there and we can educate ourselves about them.

    1. What_sApp+๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ says:

      ๐ŸŽ„๐ŸŽ„แด›สœแด€ษดแด‹s า“แดส€ แดกแด€แด›แด„สœษชษดษข.
      sแด‡ษดแด… แด€ แดแด‡๊œฑ๊œฑแด€ษขแด‡ แดษด
      แดกสœแด€แด›sแด€แด˜แด˜โœ™๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ

    2. What_sApp+๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ says:

      โ˜๏ธโ˜๏ธFor Help/Guidance on building investing/financial portfolio ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€

    1. What_sApp+๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ says:

      ๐ŸŽ„๐ŸŽ„แด›สœแด€ษดแด‹s า“แดส€ แดกแด€แด›แด„สœษชษดษข.
      sแด‡ษดแด… แด€ แดแด‡๊œฑ๊œฑแด€ษขแด‡ แดษด
      แดกสœแด€แด›sแด€แด˜แด˜โœ™๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ

    2. What_sApp+๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ says:

      โ˜๏ธโ˜๏ธFor Help/Guidance on building investing/financial portfolio ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€

  6. Hey Sven – would you possibly think about covering Micron as it is a big Mohnish Pabrai investment and Seth Klarmann as well:)

  7. Thanks for providing us with some reinforcing analysis supporting our thinking. There is a lot of cackling going on out there providing doubt in my own economic thesis.
    Wishing you all the best always, Sven.

    1. What_sApp+๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ says:

      โ˜๏ธโ˜๏ธFor Help/Guidance on building investing/financial portfolio ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€

    1. What_sApp+๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ says:

      ๐ŸŽ„๐ŸŽ„แด›สœแด€ษดแด‹s า“แดส€ แดกแด€แด›แด„สœษชษดษข.
      sแด‡ษดแด… แด€ แดแด‡๊œฑ๊œฑแด€ษขแด‡ แดษด
      แดกสœแด€แด›sแด€แด˜แด˜โœ™๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ

    2. What_sApp+๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ says:

      โ˜๏ธโ˜๏ธFor Help/Guidance on building investing/financial portfolio ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€

  8. Sven if you were in charge what would you cut in terms of government spending and be your plan to attack the debt?

    1. What_sApp+๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ says:

      ๐ŸŽ„๐ŸŽ„แด›สœแด€ษดแด‹s า“แดส€ แดกแด€แด›แด„สœษชษดษข.
      sแด‡ษดแด… แด€ แดแด‡๊œฑ๊œฑแด€ษขแด‡ แดษด
      แดกสœแด€แด›sแด€แด˜แด˜โœ™๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ

    2. What_sApp+๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ says:

      โ˜๏ธโ˜๏ธFor Help/Guidance on building investing/financial portfolio ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€

  9. Excellent analysis. Stock do not give returns in a straight line. Don’t look for multi baggers. Don’t track prices constantly. Get more capital to invest. Acknowledge faults and rectify. Don’t buy and forget. Buy and trade and as you trade you also monitor instead. Understand what you are buying. Hedge positions and avoid over exposure. Crypto investment still remain the best. I love volatility thatโ€™s where u make money. It’s much better to put everything into crypto and continue trading with Mrs Florina Steven trade signal. As I’ve made over $495k in some weeks of trading bitcoin through her guidance and trade signal with just $72k.

    1. the best feeling is taking calculated risk that lead to amazing outcomes florina gave me all i needed to succeed in this market.

    2. thank you particularly i have been looking for opportunities to grow and expand what i have it seems like i have found an answer to my prayer.

    3. i finished the first month of working one on one with florina with more than 300k amased i am excited for the future.

  10. I love your question which is the definition of the market : ” The past was crazy and you expect the future to be linear ? ” That is gold right on the spot. It is worth putting on a wall and to keep revisiting whenever I have doubts ๐Ÿคฃ

  11. We will definitely have a moderate inflationary environment in the west for next couple of decades. The trillion dollar question is if the growth will match up to say 4% inflation? Or will the govts let currencies take a hit and return to ZIRP if the growth doesn’t come through.

  12. I would be retiring or working less in 5 years and I just want to know best how people split their pay, and how much of it goes into savings, spending or investments. I earn around $165K per year but have nothing to show for it yet.

    1. you’re not alone, Iโ€™m part of the High Earners, Not Rich Yet (HENRY) not having much left after taxes, housing, and family costs.. not to mention saving for an affluent retirement.

    2. Don’t be a marketing strategy for luxury brands like Louis Vuitton and Tag Heuer without having your money give birth to more money (I recommend ”The Richest Man In Babylon”) Rather, you can move to wealth by reducing expenses and increasing savings or investments. As far as I’m concerned, its ideal to consult a reliable financial advisor for such objectives.

    3. @Boomerang I totally agree, the end worries of handling my finance came in the person of a licensed advisor from CHARLES SCHWAB, and in less than 5 years, I’ve made it into a staggering $10M after subsequent investments. In my experience, fear can take control if waiting too long to set investment goals, but that should go away once you set the plan into motion.

    4. @Jordan wow! I’m 58. 75,000 USD pension, and only began this stock thing a few months ago. Oh, and I live in the Great White North, Canada. I’m ramping up my savings for next year, while the economy and the feds play silly buggers. My goal is to see 2030 in good health and finish up my home payment by next year. Mind if I look up the advisor that aids you?

    5. @Chad T. Cantara My FA is “Ashley Breanne Haley” watched her on a CNBC interview where she was featured and reached out to her afterward. She has since provided entry and exit points on the securities I focus on. You can look up her name online if you care about supervision. I basically copy her trades.

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