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Brilliant stuff Sven – and hilariously humorous with the Powell projections 😂 👏
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Learned so much from Sven over the years. TY
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Can’t wait, waiting for this 2 year forward video! 😎🤗😅
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thanks Sven; appreciate your videos where you encourage us to Stick to foundamentals in order to navigate this Storm.
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8:00 one thing to add in that email is the 2% Inflation target will change. Following some analysts the base line is around 4%.
13:35 nice! we are in the same page! I am expecting a not good Q3 on earnings, so the price will down to 90. We’ll see.
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I follow the advice you gave long ago, I invest in myself resulting my single member LLC doing best ever revenue for year 2022 🙂 Whatever the market does, I sleep well at night
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Great video! very helpful
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Great video Sven. Question though, what do you think about dividend stocks right now? Stocks like JNJ, PEP, SBUX, TXN, TGT, etc. it seems like dividend growth stocks are great in this kind of market.
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Hi Sven. My base scenario is 1.5-3% rates in 2023. I know it seems crazy but I dont think the FED will be able to keep rates up. July-August inflation has been 0.1% (0.6% annualized), and core inflation has been 0.3% (3.6% annualized).
If september inflation goes flat or negative, I think there will be no justification for further rates hikes. Or at least not 75bps hikes.
Edit: My point is that inflation already faded.
I am always hiking that like button. May your video’s views invert the number of your subscribers in every new video you post! By the way in my opinion, there is very low probability that they can hold the rates high for an extended period of time unless inflation goes nuts. If they do the countrie’s debt and government operations will cause an huge pain in societies….
Likely higher taxes regardless of who is in the white house for US. Definitely higher state taxes incoming for a lot of states.
That is the only way to service the debt.
They should have raised taxes when the economy was doing great and could have easily taken the shock. Now everyone will feel the pain a lot more.
Dude, that was amazing. I almost spit out my coffee with Powell projections 😀
Good day Sven, could you make a video on how to balance your portfolio as far as “bull stocks” and “bearish stocks”. Surely one can’t be 100% in bullish stocks even if it’s all value, especially now. Sure, recessions are temporary and our strategy is long-term, but if you lose -40% short-term you have to gain a lot more than 40% to recover. So it’s sensible to have a portfolio that is well balanced and resilient (like berkshire, which is like 40% bullish / 60% bearish). Bullish stocks being tech, consumer discretionary, investment banks etc. Bearish being stuff like insurance, consumer defensives, energy (but not in recession) etc.
How would the federal government service the huge debt with a high interest rates? I doubt federal reserve can keep it high.the inflation is mainly caused by poor policies anyways IMO.
“Trillion dollar triage” by Nick Timiraos is a book that made me understand a lot about the monetary policies and FED tools in the US. To be honest I think it’s the best monetary sistem that the capitalistic world has. It is flawd but those people do the best they can.
The FED’s message has been very clear and consistent.. The problem is all the different interpretations.. They have made it clear that they are not going to reserve and their data shows it’s a bad Idea to do so. They made it clear that they are going to raise rates and those rates will be elevated for “some time” meaning years. People just want some good news but they don’t have any for you.. We are taking up rates and leaving them there for years. I’m not sure why people are not accepting that.. Probably because of the pain that comes with it, which is the Pain the Fed speaks of. You don’t need the Fed to see things are going down hill.. Look at the bond market.. Look at the housing market.. Look at the rising dollar.. You think inflation is bad in America.. Try visiting these countries that do business in dollars.. The world is about to change forever and people can’t see it but I see the writing all over the wall.
I’m Looking Back Now and I can see you’re the only one that was giving good advice during the entire pandemic
Ahahah best thing I saw this week. Very funny fed. I also remember in summer 2021 “no tightening till 2024” 😅