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Living in Europe, and the currency here being euro, the worst thing that can happen is dollar getting weaker and stocks shooting up, and it might happen. If that happens while you are holding bonds you could lose even 10% of your wealth. That’s 100k lost for 1 million. That being said, most of my money is still in US T-bills.
that is correct, for EUR people the currency is always a tricky thing!
Nice video.
Thanks!
WB is copying my strategy; I’m a net seller this year, trimming since February this year.
:-))
Buffet makes his real money by buying assets at firesale prices guaranteed by the US government and not available the average serf. Just like the last financial crisis, he is waiting for these sweet government deals.
You nailed it right on the head.
Fact. Rinse and repeat.
🙂
Could you please make a video for TLTW Etf. Should be a good strategie for some time?
don’t know about it!
Hi Sven , of course nobody here has the cash of Warren, would you stay like 30 % cash waiting for opportunities and you would place that cash in short term bonds as well? Or do you think is better stay invested completely (as stock picker, not index fund)? Thank you.
Depends on what are your opportunities, I am fully invested at the moment!
To me it depends on what your annual disposable income is as a percentage of your total portfolio — If you’re young, who cares what the market does just buy every paycheck.
If you’re old, nothing wrong with being 5-10% cash.
Before everyone is chilling too much, if you have debt then pay that down first of course 😊
yep!
Lol! Well, I increased my mortgage payment by 20% a while ago… it’s at 1.9 and renews in 2026 May… I have ‘some’ time….
if its cheap dept why would you do that?@Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D.
It is not timing the market, it is being patient. From WB position he does not have to do much but to wait
🙂
Warren Buffett has just too much capital to invest in most stocks, we (retail investors) should always remember this difference.
that is absolutely true!
He’s just holding his long term average in ” cash ” as a percentage of B.
his preferred holding is not cash, ever! 🙂
@Value-Investing You could be correct , but so is my comment. 🙂
When someone says ‘time the market’ I think ‘day trader’, not an investor. I use my dividends to buy something almost every month…when I get concerned about ‘maybe I should wait a week and see if the price goes down’, I zoom out to a 30 year chart….and the bumps I am concerned about don’t even show up.
That was very useful….
🗽 Yes Sven, I’m chilling with my T-Bill share of about 30%. 👍🍺
The currently expected real rate of return (approx. the 10Y TIPS-yield) is about 1.8% p.a..
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Thanks for sharing!
He bought more of pilot that’s where the 8 billion came from
thanks for sharing!!!
Thanks Sven
Hi Sven
Thank you for your thought provoking videos.
If the market was going to crash , it would have done so already , as with historical crashes shortly after high interest increases .
So what is different now , maybe because a high proportion of stocks are held in a few very large hedge funds , so they can control the sell off . Turkeys do not vote for Christmas.
Your thoughts please.
Kind regards
Mark
More money was wasted on waiting for market correction which might not come in the end. Even Buffet does not need to be always right. The market is currently expensive but there just some pockets which are super expensive like tech stocks.
why berkshire did not buy meta last year ?
they do not like meta business model for the long therm ?
Buffett is getting 8 billion in interest annually from parking Berkshires cash in fixed income and about 4 billion a year in dividends from their equity portfolio…makes you realize once you have enough money you really don’t have to take any risk at all to generate insane returns.
How do I buy T bills ?