The stock exchange bubble must continue because there is no alternative. A crash would ruin the monetary wealth and customer self-confidence, lead into a recession and reverse the spiral of spending. Without spending, without financial obligation, it is tough to see how would the existing lifestyle continue.
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We said the same thing about interest rates in the EU and US. I do not trust this move.
Very interesting. Thank you Sven!
thanks!
It is dire yes but not as bad for consumption as the 2008 real estate black out was. The current one way doom situation is actually still a delayed consequence of 2008.
thanks for sharing!
Agreed. You can’t completely pop the bubble.
glad to see that you see the light. yes it will go forever. if the US dollar was not world currency the dollar would already be worth toilet paper…
Thanks for sharing
Thanks for taking the time Sven. As you have discussed, increased money printing will be fine…until its not.
Yep!
Whoever is following the Bonds and REITs markets can see the Yields increasing (with prices falling) and a lot of volatility in the MOVE index despite the FED cutting rates. The 10 yr plus time frames are especially affected. IEF and TLT are are good way to see that. The FED has started lowering rates but the market seems to be in disagreement as to long term rates. That same time frame should also be the one impacting the stock market…
Thanks for sharing
I think things are very hard to predict. You are right about government stimuli but there are other events that my disrupt the markets. In a crazy world like this wars (think about what may happen if a certain candidate wins and Russia wins the war in Ukraine) and dictatorial coups may happen (think about what may happen if a certain candidate refuses to lose the election). Lets see what happens in the future.
Lets see
The show must go on…
🙂
The rates are hard to down, when Gov still increase deficit.
Only recession will bring rate down
It will be interesting
Consumption isn’t driven only by people onwing financial assets (top 10% of Americans owns 93% of them) but also by the remaining 90% that soend most of its income or goes into debt.
I agree with the necessity of low interest rate to service government debt, keeping asset prices high
but jobs and everything is, there is a big difference between 1% GDP growth and 2% decline,
Hi Sven, could you do a stock analysis on Severn Trent Water, especially with the whole fiasco going on in the UK with potential nationalisation of water? Would be interesting, thanks!
if there is nationalisation, then there is politics, not my kind of investing!
Maybe the regular Joe don’t matter anymore, but I can tell you they can’t keep buying goods and services. Can barely afford food, much less services
Thanks for sharing
the Fed may “influence” short-term rates, but long term are negotiated by the market(whoever the “market” is) I guess if rates don’t go up significantly; offsetting risk, assets will
we have not seen the bond vigilantes for a decade or two now
Hi, followed your videos for some years now. Can’t Remer if you ever covered KB and WF[?] also MA. I got out on a trailing SL last week when it had a strange peak. Looking for a new entry, but I am finding awkward to predict any near future dip to take advantage of.
haven’t followed 🙁
Thank you for Sharing Sven!
I agree with your view, the only difference I see are the confluences of factors that might cause a market correction in the coming months:
1- yield reversion is now correct again and usually is a trigger for recession
2- leading economic indicators are way down when compared to the coincident indicators, indicating a future recession
3- Buffet raising cash by selling large stakes in its equity exposure
4- Goldman Sachs forecasting a -1 to 3% return in the us market going forward (basically saying we need to see a correction)
thanks for sharing!
wow the amount of SCAM BOTS in the comments is insane.
hopefully AI will solve it :-)))
@@Value-Investing other fin tubers i follow have the same but damn it getting out of hand… reported like 3 and there was still more.
Governments just have to ask ‘whoever holds their debts’ to forgive them…LOL.
:-)))
In general, yes the stock market indices will always go up in the long run. Inflation will always affect the buyers power in the long run. BUT, individually investors in AI were crashed by SMCI drop. TGI fridays filed for bankruptcy. Government spending cannot support individual companies in the long run. The risk in individual companies is currently high since they have high debt and earnings go down.
It’s tomorrow!! A lot of news have been going on about a rally after the election, urging investors to watch out for stocks that would be experiencing significant growth. Any idea which stocks to put on my watchlist?
Elon Musk has been a huge part of the campaign so, energy and cars among others if Trump wins, but who knows, the market has been a basket of surprises lately, it’s better to abide by professional guidance
Such uncertainties are the reasons I don’t base my judgement on a ”heresay” 2020 had me holding trash stocks, but thankfully revamp my portfolio through the aid of a pro before seeing significant gains. To date, I’ve scaled up nearly 320% ROI. it’s been 4 years and counting. I and my advisor are working on a 7 figure ballpark goal and we’re not far.
good gains! I once saw on the news folks that made fortunes from the Dotcom crash, as well as the 08’ crash and I’ve been looking into similar opportunities in this present markt, does your advisr work with any specific persons?
I’m cautious about giving specific recommendations as everyone’s situation varies. You may consider independent financial advisors like “Karen Lynne Chess” I’ve worked with her for over 4 years now and I’d gladly commend her exemplary service on a public post.
I find this very informative, curiously inputted Karen Lynne Chess on the web and at once spotted her consulting page, she seems highly professional from her resumé …