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The bots are crazy today
yeah, wth is going on?
That ‘Ronaldo would buy XAI213K’ cracked me up 😛
if Ronaldo is buying, we might too have to buy…. what is Messi doing?
I only believe to mbape 😅
I agree with your points, the problem is that there’s way too much money and there are no better assets to put them on that could give the same returns as pre fed interest. So everyone is just trying to hold to the old way of living. It’s hard to accept that the best bet is to put in treasuries. It will just take some time before people start losing money and then prices will adjust to follow fundamentals again. Or maybe they will go to crypto 🤷
There was even more money in 2021 and market went down 20-30%. Its interesting how short memory you have.
It was not more money around than today and secondly what happened after that correction?
But money is not destroyed when the market goes down, it just changes hands. Money is printed as well so there is just more money in the world, period.
@@barefeg correct, and they will not burn it but reinvest, the result will be prices of assets going up
S&P500 Trailing EPS: 10-Years
…Now *THAT* is a statistic media NEVER shows you. They prefer nobody knows.
Still trust finance news? Me neither…
Hi Sven. What would you consider a “proper value” for the s&p nowadays? A rough estimate.. thanks
7% earnings yield
$196 earnings are GAAP earnings. Stock prices track non GAAP earnings. GAAP earnings are influenced by one time non cash charges and thus are not real, operating earnings of the company. Thats why all graphs showing correlation between EPS and share price are using non GAAP EPS.
GAAP earnings are reality. Non GAAP is creative accounting.
Well.. 1) “non recurring” expense is still an expense, every year there are non recurring expense 2) gaap earning is the only metric that can be compared across period. There is no point in comparing across period when the bases are different
@cwaddle I agree
@@kevinp5119Don’t bother, they think that investing consists in convincing themselves that the few dozen companies that everybody knows deserve higher and higher multiples no matter what, and they will resort to all sorts of stories. They don’t know what else to do and recent history has rewarded them. They will learn soon enough.
Most people are drunk now! Thank you Sven for your lonely wakeness.
thanks, and yes, I am one of the few that doesn’t drink
This bubble is very different. Its first time in US history I think when a new bubble formed just two years after the last one. These extreme bubbles usually happen at least 20 years appart as old investors are replaced with newbies who did not lived experienced the last one. This bubble is very unique as people who lost half their money in IPO bubbli in 2021 and crypto are now jumping again all in.
Or the major investors pulled out before the last big C. Now they simply creating another climax before ww3. Unfortunately for them this is likely to be delayed due to not being able to control usa
Not the boring guy, the guy warning about icebergs. What a kill joy! lol.
hahahaha
Sven do you ever buy protection on your portfolio ? I know it’s generally frowned upon but I’m strongly considering a hedge.
I am very hedged in a way and buying puts now doesn’t seem a stupid idea…
I’m shorting SPX with 5x leverage. Wish me luck Sven.
@@pierregentilini4375 Shorting before Christmas? You crazy, bro! 😲
Sven – You always have great perspective with facts and rationality!
How do we, in US, find value when our 401k has limited options and our 401s are the core positions?
Most offer the SP500 or NASDAQ as primary funds. Some value funds , but not great options.
Lol cuts or no cuts investors are still paying 30x earnings. If there are cuts, what upside is even left?
So LEAP SPY Puts are a smart move?
Sven is a spiritually financial hedge….I enjoy reading the comments from the people who accuse him of crying wolf yet keep watching and commenting. Keep up the excellent, thoughtful work…..
Sven is great.
Those who have a vested interest in the market will always say it goes higher. Like a real estate agent who will never tell you its not a good time to buy a house
Sven, would you consider an index ETF tracking MSCI EAFE a value investment right now? How about the Canadian index?
80% stocks 20% cash. I plan to take advantage of the s&p 500 as leading indicators predict above 10% rise by next year, my only issue is how to properly allocate a 6-figure stock/bond portfolio for substantial gains at minimum risk of inflation.
I believe that diversifying your investments is the safest way to handle it. One way to lessen the effects of a market crisis is to distribute investments over a variety of asset classes, such as international equities, bonds, and real estate. It’s also critical to look for expert advice.
Certain Mag 7 companies are rumoured to be overvalued and might cause a market correction, I’d suggest you go with a managed portfolio, but even those don’t perform so well, so it’s best you reach out to a proper fiduciary to guide you, that’s what works for my spouse and I. We’ve made over 80% capital growth minus dividends.
I fired mine 12 yrs ago. now I am beginning to see the benefits, how do I get one? Considering your point I won’t want to get into a bubble. Can you recommend any?
Sure, the likes of the popular “Victoria Louisa Saylor” does a good job. Just look up the name, you’d find details on the web to set up an appointment as she offers free consultations for Veterans like yourself.
Thank you for sharing, I must say, Victoria appears to be quite knowledgeable. After coming across her web page, I went through her resume and it was quite impressive. I reached out and scheduled a call
Thank you Sven
Very good, Sven! Very cunning and prudent.
How about ERF. Price is down, earninigs are growing.
Why short term bond are ok?
I’d be interested to see the performance by dividend income for all of these players vs the S&P 500. But how can I possibly safeguard and grow $350k cash reserve into a 7 figure ballpark for the next 2 years?
Bitcoin through 2025, then high yield ETFs through the bear market 26’-27’ that’s my plan.
Index Funds & ETFs: 40-50%, Emerging Markets (e.g., VWO): 10-15%, Dividend Stocks: 10-20%, Growth Stocks/Small-Caps: 10-20%, REITs: 5-10%
Remember to always work with a knowledgeable person in the financial market when starting out to avoid getting burnt.
“DCA” is the golden term but the key. My dollar portfolio i DCA with is made up of 30% PLTR, 25% NVDA, 15% VOO and over 30% in digital assets, thanks to my CFA. This strategy is what works for my spouse and I. We’ve made over 80% capital growth minus dividends. Q3 taxable divs this year was $18,388.
pls how can I reach this expert?
Her name is Marissa Lynn Babula . I can’t divulge much. Most likely, the internet should have her basic info, you can research if you like