The realty markets should have crashed 25% as interest rates increased. It happened in Sweden however not in Europe or the US. It is most likely people are still hoping the FED and the ECB will keep rates low for eternity.
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No , you bought a ‘ home ‘ I hope
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@John T yes I did 😊 first house, no more rent!
I think it is 13% in Sweden, not 25%
Why would I sell my current house with a 1% interrest for a new house with a 4% interrest? (Supply/Demand)
You can keep your current interest rate. Only if you need additional captial you need get a new loan, but only for the capital you need extra.
You can keep your rate? What u talking about mate
@Max007 You can have a portable mortgage to a new house with some banks and keep the rate.
@John T thats what I meant hehe my message a bit confusing maybe
As a Swede this is quite interesting 🙂
However, a large factor in Sweden is the high energy costs for houses. Thats why a lot of them dropped in price.
@MAK Same applies to the Netherlands so it is quite the mystery why it has not yet happened here
@E G Ahh ok. Might be on the may then. But then again, if there is a housing shortage the prices will always be a bit higher
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Should there be a decrease in prices only in the value of houses or also of industrial or logistics-related properties?
Hope and maybe also still the phase of denial. People don’t want to sell their property for less because they got used to the over-inflated prices.
what about commercial real estate
REITs have been hammered in UK last 6 months Sven.
Perfect break down of why housing prices are still high even with higher rates. Everyone is anticipating lower rates and they can just refinance after 2 years (what every YouTuber is saying). These prices at 3% mortgage are not crazy but they are crazy at 6% so the question is how forward looking/forward efficient is the housing market. Sweden is short term efficient and US/Euro is either inefficient or very forward looking
In Sweden they have many variable mortgages.
This, in the US it’s the opposite. People sit on 30 year loan with low interest rate and cannot afford to sell.
I don’t think you are right about comparing Sweden to US. Sweden has one of the highest priced real estate sector in the world, people smarter than me say only Australia and Canada compare to it. Sweden for example has had these eternal mortgages where you only pay interest expenses. You cant get those in US.
hmm… it looks like that the sweden house price index was falling around 18%. Instead it should rise 25% to reach those old highs.
So the big question is, are they right, will rates be able to go down already then or not. I hope not. But impossible to know I guess…
USA has a housing shortage. It has millions of new immigrants arriving each year, you have many houses that are now uninhabitable because of recent natural.disasters – floods, hurricane, tornadoes – plus a very large number of homeless people.
Sure interest rates are up a lot, but the market is still tight for habitable homes
Great video Dr. Carlin
Thank you !
Totally agree that house prices are likely to drop. But house price crashes usually take several years.
Everyone is talking about house prices, car prices, xyz prices – has anyone bothered to look at prices in real terms, i.e. adjusted for inflation, if you do look then there has been a massive drop in REAL house prices, due to inflation.
Nece nekretnine toliko pasti. Mozda one najskuplje. U Americi ce ove godine biti pad 10-12%