Newmont stock (NEM) makes part of our YouTube portfolio and the technique is a clear all-weather Ray Dalio technique to gold. So, we are simply including and will be deducting depending on the volatility of the stock.
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Thanks Sven!
Thank you!
I like stocks that pay a nice dividend, are generally hated and whose companies make profits.
Keep in mind this will be volatile, the dividend too likely! Depends on gold prices!
Since Gold prices are greatly affected by the strength of the dollar, this could also be a hedge for a weaker dollar.
that is what people own gold for too!
Hi Sven, what do you think about Newmont share increase of 50% in the last 5 years?
just watch the price of gold!
Always grateful for new videos. Have a great week, Sven.
Thanks, you too!
Sempre ben druze Sven, grazie per il servizio
grazie!
So, you bought at $54, which means you like it at that level. Then it drops to 40, goes back up to 54 and you say βyou will for sure sell at 54β. If you like it at 54, why would you sell? Does it matter when did you buy it? Itβs either whether you like it at particual price or not. Can you explain the logic behind it?
mind the first video and my strategy π you are missing the point!
β@Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D. I get why would you sell some (all-weather portfolio, volatility play etc.) but selling all at $54 would leave you without the hedge you entered in the first place. Or you would just sell NEM and be done with gold miners until gold is down again, since NEM hitting $54 means gold is in growth trend from current levels?
I get in at $20. there is still a lot of room down.
could happen, that is why we are watching!
Agree. 16-20 its an okay deal
I get research from a top institutional investor that shows Newmont as incredibly expensive relative to its cost of mining gold. There are very few producers that are low risk even at these low valuations
some institutions say it is cheap, some it is expensive – but that is not the point of the strategy here – just the gold all-weather volatility. When everybody hates gold, we might dig deeper into the sector. On Newmont, just taken as the largest!
For a miner there are many factors to consider…. so every assumption brings a bit a different result for the value analysis.
.
lol a top institutional investor…..right
Thanks for your comments but as I am reading them here, most of them are about the company, the stock price, other better miners, the PE ratio or something. None about the ALL-WEATHER strategy applied, discussed here and in the previous video on Newmont. I answer here so I don’t have to all individually. Keep in mind this is an educational portfolio π https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rgZ5IwNM4PY
Ah, one more thing about mixed lighting – your “room” lights are yellow, and the video lights are different colour, you’ll never balance it all out. Need to shut down the ceiling lights and only use one “type” of light with similar colour temperature, like LED.
good, will do, just one light then!
Do you like actual gold mining companies (NEM) over gold royalties stocks (Sand, Fnv, β¦)?
I don’t know royalties well enough to understand the risk and reward π
Sven, are you using real money for this YouTube portfolio ?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bVBv-EvCxls
At 15 throw all at it!!
I don’t like goldmines but I have polymetal at a low price because I like to foolaround sometimes!!
π
gold miners is the only sector I stick to a broad gold miner ETF as my stock picking is happening in two other sectors. simply too many gold miners in this world (and I don’t want to turn around all thos rocks :))
:-)) Should be ok with a good strategy!
Have you factored in the recent Ugandan Gold discovery, how will this affect Gold price? Depends on how much they release to the market?
it is interesting – 1 billion ounces of gold – and then the manager invests only $200 million USD π hm…. from discovery to placing on the market is a big difference!
Thanks Sven! Is it the new lighting or did you get a tan during summer?
Lighting mistake!
PER is too high for my liking. Prefer pan african mining in london. What happens if the russian miners come back to the market in a few years time? Roe is about 9% and price / book was about 1.7, which means a return on investment of 5% which happens to the dividend. Nothing left in the company for reinvestment. Book value per share is not expected to rise. Gold price could fall as rates rise. Fair price $27.
An industry i know nothing about. Thank you for the video!