Newmont Stock Down 25% – Adding To The YT Portfolio (GOLD ALL-WEATHER STRATEGY)

(NEM) makes part of our YouTube portfolio and the technique is a clear all-weather Ray Dalio technique to gold. So, we are simply including and will be deducting depending on the volatility of the stock.

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Newmont Stock Down 25% – Adding To The YT Portfolio (GOLD ALL-WEATHER STRATEGY)

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39 Comments

  1. So, you bought at $54, which means you like it at that level. Then it drops to 40, goes back up to 54 and you say β€žyou will for sure sell at 54”. If you like it at 54, why would you sell? Does it matter when did you buy it? It’s either whether you like it at particual price or not. Can you explain the logic behind it?

    1. ​@Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D. I get why would you sell some (all-weather portfolio, volatility play etc.) but selling all at $54 would leave you without the hedge you entered in the first place. Or you would just sell NEM and be done with gold miners until gold is down again, since NEM hitting $54 means gold is in growth trend from current levels?

  2. I get research from a top institutional investor that shows Newmont as incredibly expensive relative to its cost of mining gold. There are very few producers that are low risk even at these low valuations

    1. some institutions say it is cheap, some it is expensive – but that is not the point of the strategy here – just the gold all-weather volatility. When everybody hates gold, we might dig deeper into the sector. On Newmont, just taken as the largest!

    2. For a miner there are many factors to consider…. so every assumption brings a bit a different result for the value analysis.
      .

  3. Thanks for your comments but as I am reading them here, most of them are about the company, the stock price, other better miners, the PE ratio or something. None about the ALL-WEATHER strategy applied, discussed here and in the previous video on Newmont. I answer here so I don’t have to all individually. Keep in mind this is an educational portfolio πŸ™‚ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rgZ5IwNM4PY

  4. Ah, one more thing about mixed lighting – your “room” lights are yellow, and the video lights are different colour, you’ll never balance it all out. Need to shut down the ceiling lights and only use one “type” of light with similar colour temperature, like LED.

  5. At 15 throw all at it!!
    I don’t like goldmines but I have polymetal at a low price because I like to foolaround sometimes!!

  6. gold miners is the only sector I stick to a broad gold miner ETF as my stock picking is happening in two other sectors. simply too many gold miners in this world (and I don’t want to turn around all thos rocks :))

  7. Have you factored in the recent Ugandan Gold discovery, how will this affect Gold price? Depends on how much they release to the market?

    1. it is interesting – 1 billion ounces of gold – and then the manager invests only $200 million USD πŸ™‚ hm…. from discovery to placing on the market is a big difference!

  8. PER is too high for my liking. Prefer pan african mining in london. What happens if the russian miners come back to the market in a few years time? Roe is about 9% and price / book was about 1.7, which means a return on investment of 5% which happens to the dividend. Nothing left in the company for reinvestment. Book value per share is not expected to rise. Gold price could fall as rates rise. Fair price $27.

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