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Hi Sven, from which site do you get the the graph on the beginning of the video ?
What about other markets? China for example pe ratio of 9….average of 12
I mentioned in my comment to takę a deep-dive into Tencent stock 😊
Thank you for bringing me back to rationality these are turbulent times for the market to be this expensive … also it’s more better to park your money in cash in fixed income like bonds and money markets cause the return is on par with stocks … stocks are way too expensive
Nvidia is starting to look attractive with a P/E of 200 +! In more seriousness and related to your previous vid about inflation, will the price and nominal value of commodities be adjusted to inflation when they bottom? Or should we expect them to bottom above their histrical “bottoming prices” due to the extreme money printing? Thank you for the great videos!
PE doesn’t matter … forward earnings does. I wouldn’t mock Nvidea
Sven, have you consider looking at Indonesian stock market? As an Indonesian it’ll be interesting to see your view, also considering that Indonesia’s market is currently one of the cheaper markets globally and a promising emerging market.
Great content as usual, Sven! Just a friendly note to add – the sound cracks in recent videos are a bit annoying, might be something to look into 🙂
Hello Sven, I would love to see your take on 3M its giving 6% div, as the chat is down down down 😊
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Thanks Sven great vid.
Personally, I’ve been taking a holiday from all the noise, doom and gloom out there. Found it very annoying. My first YouTube comment in a while
To be honest, I’ve run out of money. I’ve been buying like it’s gone out of fashion. Has it bottomed? Depends on what you’re buying. Is the world going to end? I doubt it.
How can I say that? Because people seem to have forgotten about the wonders of Cashflow, time and compound interest.
Buy a decent company, at a decent price. Notice I didn’t say cheap. Forget about the latest Ponzi scheme – also called AI. People are trying to mug you.
Cashflow is king. Build your models around pessimism, look to the average. Nothing has changed, don’t try to reinvent the wheel- listen to your uncle Sven
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Would you recommend to someone who want to invest for the next 10 years, and no nothing about stock picking, to DCA on the world index or the america index? Or too much risk?
According to your opinion, which i share, it seems that the investment strategy should be 20 years forward at least.
But what’s the alternative? Bonds for 10 years?
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Thank you Sven for the content, but I think that I heard this from you a few times already. Would be great to dive into particular stocks which are worth buying now.
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I mean, the average market PE ratio has been increasing over the past two decades, and it makes sense considering the improved efficiency brought by the internet. Now, with the rise of AI, I wouldn’t be surprised if the average PE ratio increases further. Nowadays, most start-ups are technology-focused, particularly SaaS businesses, which often have high profit margins. These technology giants like GOOG, FB, APPL, MSFT significantly influence the market index. If we were to find a set of resilient businesses with similar characteristics 30 or 50 years ago, I bet the average PE ratio wouldn’t be as low as 15. I believe it’s important to recognize the evolution in how we should interpret these charts and concepts and consider both sides of the coin.
I agree. There’s also trends that increase the demand on quality businesses (stocks) of which there’s only a limited supply (as the planet can only support so much). For example, growing global middle class, price competition and globalisation of stock brokerages and exchanges, and stimulus caused by slowing global economic growth.
Then both of you name a number you believe should surplajt the avg of 15.
Should it be 20, 25, 30,50?
Sven, great video. Makes me think why stock prices still remain elevated. Could it be that there are global trends that increase the demand on quality businesses (stocks), and that there’s limited supply on the market (because the planet can only support so much). This I mean in terms of law of supply and demand.
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Sven is talking about the S&P 500 and other ETF’s. There could always be individual companies that are selling at a discount even in high market values like present. But such companies are difficult to find.
Thanks Sven – couldn’t the low Dividend stats just be excused since more corps are plowing what would have been dividends into rebuying their shares and avoiding tax drag?
Question- Why should average PE of (e.g.) 1880 to 1980, based on completely different companies, international regulations etc., be indicative of what to expect in 2023?
So the highest P/E ever for the S&P 500 was 123.73 in May 2009, a.k.a., the best possible time in most of our lifetimes’ to buy the S&P index when it was trading around $1,000?
Dan is vooral de vraag hoe staat de stilstand op de beurs tenopzichte van de devaluatie van geld op de bank.
I’ve definitely become a passive investor over time, I invest the same amount of money into an index fund every Monday. So far it’s been working well for me.
Hi Sven!
thanks for the video!
Can you do the analysis of Tencent stock?
Probably the biggest business in China in terms of valuation/market cap, P/E around 15, even after 50% decline and then 50% up still looks attractive to me but I want to challenge my point of view 😊
If S&P looks overvalued in my opinion we should seek investment opportunities outside US, maybe China is a good direction
So the best is still to come . Is buying lower PE ratio companies (given they will survive the harsh conditions) a better option than buying index ?