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This video should be called “the core of value investing”. Thanks!
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I really think they will print more too. Wouldn’t surprise me if they will increase interest rates to fight inflation AND print money at the same time to cover all the promises the government has made. I think it will appear to work for some time, until inflation keep getting worse until they’ll eventually have to cut spending and economic restructuring will be allowed to occur.
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If I look around in the financial community it’s like 90% are starting to trying to sell and buy back later , back and forth..
I wonder what’s with all these 0815 Investment wisdoms like “Don’t time the market” ..”Time in the market Beats Timing the Market”????
Doesn’t they apply anymore because THIS time it’s different?
Wasnt it different everytime the market did crash .
I have a feeling the more you watch YouTube the more you get confused…
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1:17 well, here In UK they printed few days to avoid Pension Funds to crash. The government is doing U-turns, and are coming more rates hikes. We’ll see how many days it last.
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How does this work tho, they trying to fight inflation but still printing money, doesnt that only make it worse in the future and create a snowball effect? Wouldnt it be better to let the funds crash now instead of a worse crash in the future?
@Max007 l think the US, UK and Europe have now reversed QE for QT , that and rate hikes will bring down inflation in a few months time due to lagg effect. The bank of England just bought alot of government guilt bond’s but not sure if they had to do QE for that.
@paul tweedley hmm Michael Burry basically said that QT hasn’t even started yet in tern of some graph he showed. Also I read fighting high inflation has only worked so far by increasing rates above inflation rate… but we will see!
I totally agree with you. Currencies have been devalued since they were created (even in roman empire), why would it be different now?
Cash is trash.
Equities are the only way to scape govs and permanent poverty (due to currency devaluation).
You should cover these stocks: AMT and EstΓ©e lauder
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Hi sven ! Great video, I appreciate you sharing your feelings even though there’s no cold hard facts on how it will go down ultimately but I agree with you 100 %.
I have a good feeling on emerging markets, certainly the market doesn’t agree with me. EM indices down ~45% but yields above 9% at the moment. Clearly a lot of short to medium term pressure on EM with strong dollar but long term I believe BRICS+ will thrive more so than heavily indebted (currency devaluing) US+EU.
Am I on a wrong path here or would you agree?
Perfect. I feel too many value investors emphasis the numbers but I think your guts are equally as important and maybe more important. Right on about printing more when we hit the choke point. Price is still important. Keep it coming Sven, soon we are going to call you the Oracle man from Yugoslavia. : )
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Itβs inevitable that they will print moreβ¦ but they wonβt announce it officially. It will be what the Bank of England did recently with or purchasing bonds because itβs necessary, but temporaryβ¦ temporary lasting 5 years or so
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Great video – thanks. I opened positions in BABA and JD on HKEX last Thursday, at very fair/low prices. Besides cash, they are now my two biggest positions, but I will happily add more for every 20% drop in market cap. For GOGGL I’m still averaging down, but would like to see it in the 85$-87$ range which could easily happen with a bit more “End of the world” news combined with a weak(ish) quarterly earnings results and guidance. I agree that cash is not always great, but I prefer money in the bank for rainy days (years) or for times like this. That’s just what fits me.
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BABA / JD are great value plays. But question, are you not afraid of delisting risk of Chinese stocks? Since they do not abide by foreign regulators to disclose/allow foreign accountants to look up their books.
It would be so cool if u would do a video where u put yourself in a position of a older invester…
Like someone who maybe is around the age of 60 or someone who got some health issues .
Like your point of view on a few things:
Should they stay completely out of the market?
Should they sell even with losses?
Where else to put a little saved money? Bonds? Bank ? Sock or under pillow?
Would appreciate very much..thx
Good video and I think you are right and that’s exactly what I am doing accumulating good assets.
Hi Sven I love your videos but how can you advise to accumulate stocks and sell everything? I am actualy thinking to reduce all my positions and wait for interests to go down, what do you think about that?
Yeah, money printing didn’t go too well when the UK suggested it
Your analysis is great! But the high level feeling with your pov is super interesting! Please keep doing these once a month, it’s ok if something changes and it’s ok if it’s the same, you can shorten it and reflect on what changed in your view of the macros.
Thank you!
Did you see that chart where on one axis was “stock market performance” and other where “bond market performance”, dots on it where years and there was like last hundred years on it?
2022 was on cluster where there was only years 1931 and 1969. Both of those years were follow by a massive devaluation 2 years after. So your guess is a very good one.
My feeling is inflation is headed toward hyperinflation and hot dogs π will cost $25 a package for 6 Frankfurters π
Very interesting. Thanks for sharing your feeling!
Hi Sven, first of all thanks for your solid input as usual, u never disappoint since I’ve been watching your channel for the last maybe 2 years.
There are some videos lately about banks running into liquidity crisis ( about Australia / UK / Europe n USA) and that people should get their money out of the banks. Do you think that such a scenario is possible ?