Kering stock analysis.
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Literally bought yesterday and then Sven makes a video today. 馃檪
Me too 馃檪
Sven. Your last 10 videos have been awesome. More detail and convictions from yourself shown. Whether you are bullish or bearish. Much better than the vagueness you used to show. You should promote your patreon/discord more in your videos. Don’t sell your analysis too short.
I prefer the vagueness.
I prefer the Value Investor
Great video. Shows the true meaning of VALUE investing.
I love those videos. Thank you very much.
Huntington Ingalls is looking attractive today after the big drop.
Recently you released Austrian market stocks.. now I see DAO OF CAPITAL BOOK behind you. Coincidence?
I am working for a luxury brand of seats. This recession in the luxury goods is much much worse than 2008. Luxury had the wind in the sail when everyone was at home getting money but now we have less a lot less sales… Because of the rebound effect
Clothing is replaced more frequently than seats. If it鈥檚 all about purchases pulled forward in time out if 2023,2024 and into 2021 etc, then Kering likely rebounds before your sales do.
I approve of this new direct case-by-case approach. Shows your thought process far better.
Thanks Sven. Would also like to hear your thoughts on Campari
Another excellent video Sven!!
Thank you so much for all the time and effort you put in to sharing your wisdom and experience with all of us here on YT!!! I love that you have amped up the frequency, and we don’t have to wait for several days to hear from you. The first thing I do everyday to start my morning, right after I make coffee, is check to see if you’ve posted anything new. Thanks again, for giving us some VALUE to look forward to each day!!!!!
I recently bought Kering and LVMH. Would you please cover LVMH too?
Any update on Rubis? It’s down 10% today for a not good new guidance
Buy more
Swiss quality stock Swatch (SWX:UHR) is down too! Please analyze.
I find Kering a really compelling opportunity in my opinion. We have a company that owns some iconic brands, including Gucci, Balenciaga, Saint Laurent e Bottega Veneta with some optionality for the smaller brands.
It has an history of positive acquisitions and as well as dividend payments. The biggest unknown to be is how they are planning to develop the Gucci brand, as they are targeting a more aspirational aura that cause an increased costs to procure quality material for their products.
I am also quite worried about the trends that the various brands had both in EU and US, showing that a slowdown was not only Chinese but was cross-geographies.
Having said that, I am quite comfortable entering at a PE below 15x into companies with branding power, with the plan to hold over the medium to long run ( 5-10 y). I enter at already depressed earings with already depressed multiples.
There is also the acquisition bonus: If I were LVMH, I would consider among my takeover targets both Burberry and Kering. Both have brands that I could reinforce with my current structure and both are trading at a fair to low price.
Full disclosure: I have recently bought both Kering and Burberry, which a much more weight on Kering.
馃椊 I am watching Kering since Sept. 24 and waiting for a bottom. But for long-term I’m prefering LVMH. 馃
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i think this is the first video i see you talk about debt. being a cautious investor, i like companies with 0 debt (i.e. fcf > debt; ackman goes as low as fcf x 3 = debt) but i have never seen this thesis from anyone. people like the industry, the company, what they do, potential, and so on, and ignore debt.
a company with this much debt needs to be evaluated on its EV instead.
however, i will say, this company’s EPV (which is the true value of a company before considering any growth) is quite a bit higher than current price.
thanks for sharing!
Would be interesting to compare with Herm猫s, LVMH and Brunello Cucinelli! Could you do one please? Becaus I think LVMH is overpriced but not Herm猫s. What do you think?
You should do better DCFs if you think that about Hermes
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v0q9xaUre_w
What a start Sven 馃槢
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Nice jumper
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Thanks Sven for sharing. Could you take a look at Volkswagen and give us your thoughts?
discussed here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GgYCL7URk5I