Google Stock Is The BEST Business / At What Price It Fits Your Portfolio?

analysis – Google is among the best companies out there so at some time in time it need to fit every portfolio as the stock is unstable. here is my assessment and analysis.

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Google Stock Is The BEST Business / At What Price It Fits Your Portfolio?

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36 Comments

  1. I bought some Google recently & will be averaging down when given the opportunity (counting on it, given the market circumstances).

  2. Still almost 25% above the pre-COVID price. Might be able to get this one a lot lower, especially if earnings stall or go down in the next year.

    1. Value lnvesting with Sven β”ΌπŸπŸ–πŸ•πŸŽπŸ‘πŸ’πŸ“πŸŽπŸ“πŸ‘πŸ– says:

      ​@Adrien As DM let’s talk about investmentπŸ‘†πŸ‘†

    2. @Adam Marette he’s saying you are making the “anchoring” fallacy, which is common among value investors and can lead to missing out on a good buy. The price should only be interpreted relative to earnings/earnings potential. Therefore the past price from 2 years + ago isn’t really that relevant to the value today after covid changed a lot of the world. Yes it can go lower, but due to their awesome earnings growth buying today at $100 can be value, but buying in 2019 at $100 couldnhave been speculation despite that you would have gotten lucky on that trade.

  3. Interest rate is growing and the recession is knocking at our door meaning there will be a slow down in advertising, so buy in small bites, preferably using hooks (limit orders), don’t be gready
    There is also the political risk which Sven hasn’t mentioned

    1. Value lnvesting with Sven β”ΌπŸπŸ–πŸ•πŸŽπŸ‘πŸ’πŸ“πŸŽπŸ“πŸ‘πŸ– says:

      DM let’s talk about investmentπŸ‘†πŸ‘†

  4. Both Apple and Google are great businesses. Both have strong moat; continuing growth; consistent share buybacks; etc. Yet, to invert, do you think why Buffett does not invest in Google while holding such a large position in Apple and continuously adding to it, especially given that Apple is trading with a significantly higher valuation than Google? According to Seeking Alpha, as of Friday’s close Google has P/E-GAAP (TTM) of 18.36 and Apple has 24.89.

  5. i feel like the average case which is 10% growth is a bit much, considering analysts are expecting a decrease in the following year.
    How is the worst case 7-10% growth ? to a company that has such a big market cap i believe 7-10% is average case .
    Feels like you are trying to justify a buying of GOOG because its indeed a great company, but margin of safety is not enough.
    20-30% of what u pay is for their moat

  6. I think google could hit $90. The Fed is raising interest rate. The economy will slow down. Ads revenue will drop. I plan to add more googl stocks. Google is great stock to own. It is currently cheap value. Long term holder is the key.

  7. At a 5% growth rate, Google would only be worth 50$ as per your DCF? They would have 20% of their market cap in cash at that price. Shouldn’t the balance sheet also be taken into account when valuing a business?

  8. i can see it at 80 soon after two earning calls given the macro set up for ads and tough comp from tiktok. when it comes to cloud, now oracle is also taking some shares besides msft’s aggression in market. btw, what is ur opinion on Alibaba? do you think we need to be take risk with taiwan issue or greedy when everyone flies away

  9. What do you think about SWK stock? (Stanley Black & Dekker) its a dividend King and it has dropped a lot in price

  10. Sven an interesting video would be Liberty Global plc (still the largest stock in Klarman’s portfolio), lot of happenings since your last video. A lot of analysts are concerned about the business model, and since your video it dropped as nearly as 50%.

    1. that one is covered on my research platform, will update soon, so can’t discuss publicly!

    1. they already do significant buybacks – maybe the form of shareholder returns isn’t important to them.

  11. I don’t know if anyone else has already suggested it, but you may use midprice order in this situations maybe also adjust it for speed, it will fill your order at the possibily best price-speed&timing ratio. Most of the times it works, especially in catching a good price and entry point during a fast uptrend. It is a little bit slower but it should works also in the demo account

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