When do economics and other macro concerns matter for investing. We live in a world of controlled rate of interest, increasing debt levels, possibly greater inflation and unfortunately slower GDP development than anticipated. This will all have an effect on long-lasting investing trends.
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for that is the purpose of war Sven when you break something you have to build it again. sad but true.
Interest Rates & Geopolitics used to be “economics”. Now its a part of fundamental analysis. Thanks the video Sven.
Buffet: “Name me one economist that is rich.”
there arent any?
Ray Dalio who is economist and Billionaire
There aren’t many but, undermining there contribution is ill and foolish, I dare you start business or invest in a company without help of economics, Banking and accounting and Law, oops š¬ impossible
@@venkatgoud8394 Economics is the study of choice with limited resources. It has nothing to do with evaluating businesses and valuation or timing the markets.
The french index you are using is without dividends… It changes everything.
As Einstein once said āthe market is not the economy, and the economy is not the marketā. Let that sink in.
Inflation removes debts of govts and increases nominal returns of investors
And you used nominal figures for the GDPs of European countries. If you deflate those numbers by the CPI, they are MUCH worse.Ā
The same situation is happening in Brazil. Stagnant economy for 10 yrs. Steadily increasing taxes to cover government deficits. Real GDP surpassing potential GDP (and the inflationary pressure that comes from it). And governmental debt steadily increasing.
Fun fact: the vid last exactly the 13 min Peter Lynch has stated š
Personally, I donāt see much correlation between GDP growth and the business / stock market.
Look at the US. Low GDP exceptional stock market for 10+ yearsā¦
It boils down mainly to interest rate (expectations).
The rest is a stable, rule based market environment where businesses can operateā¦
Economics is a lot more than GDP, its just 1 indicator
Why did you pronounce the Philippines like thatš
That was a heavy one but important. Thanks.
Very Interesting view. Thank You. The Advice at the end was excellent
I try and dip my toes into some macro a bit! I agree alot with you, GDP growth is important for sure, and one large influence affecting GDP growth is actually the government, and if they introduce austerity measures. Which Europe has been more in favor, stifling companies by limiting their growth and so-called monopolies. You need a government willing to let credit grow (borrowing and lending). Any countries have tailwinds, Japan?
Lyon is pretty bad right now…lots of tents š¢
American markets are like addicted people. It’s been leaving on stimulus. By the time you cut, the craving comes. In election year, I believe it won’t happen this year, but it will happen
Thank you for keeping it real with us. We’re all getting hit over the head with these prices, the good thing is being in a position to pay these prices. I feel really bad for those who are not in the position to pay for their basic needs. God bless Donald Onida imagine inviting $2,000 and getting $10,760 in 5days
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Islways invested with the mindset to buy shares in companies for 25years and paid little attention to economics, and I got very wealthy doing that, however i reduced my holdings from 2007 to 2009 and from early 2020 to 2022ā¦.. that helped too, and I avoided weak economiesā¦ guess Sven is right
I’m not entirely convinced that your statement about Italian tourists is completely accurate. Prices in Croatia have been increasing, and the country is not as affordable as it once was, especially during the tourist season. Nowadays, you can probably find comparable prices for similar services in Italy.
Please update your data relating to Italy.. At the moment Italy is one of the best economics in Europe
š½ Investing for the next 10 years in stocks probably is with a strong head wind… value investing and some diversification gets even more important!
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Sven when you will cover India? From a fundamental prospective it might overcome soon both china and united states in terms of GDP and population growth