Buy Stocks Now Or Wait For A Recession And Crash? A Framework & Strategy

Lots of marvel whether to purchase stocks now as those are already down a bit or wait much more to purchase those stocks even less expensive due to the fact that if there is a recession, a crash will likely come too. Here we talk about the opportunities for an economic downturn and crash and a method on based on what we can know.

0:00 Framework
1:02 Crash Possibilities
6:04 What We Know
7:10 Your Capital
7:38 Method
9:24 Conclusion

BRK Stock Analysis
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Buy Stocks Now Or Wait For A Recession And Crash? A Framework & Strategy

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30 Comments

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  1. “when the volatility subsides, everything will be 30% up” first smart thing i have heard is these times of FUD and bearishness, thank you and keep up the good work! i have started dcaing since the start of the year and will continue to do so despite the possible fluctuations, bears will always want a lower prices cause they missed a great entry opportunities

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  2. My approach is that even before a recession, one can still find good deals on some companies, but once a recession drives down the prices of most stocks, that will give me an opportunity to find a much greater number of good deals. I will invest 15% of my income regardless.

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      Sᴇɴᴅ ᴀ Tᴇxᴛ Oɴ WʜᴀᴛsAᴘᴘ Wɪᴛʜ Tʜᴇ
      Nᴜᴍʙᴇʀ Aʙᴏᴠᴇ*……………………….

    2. that is exactly the fallacy – there is no simple stable and linear when it comes to investing

  3. Hi Sven. Thanks for all the valuable content you’re putting up there. Would it be possible for you to make a video on mindset/logic/approach when stock prices are going up. I don’t know how many of your subscribers are like me but I find it hard to buy businesses when the prices are going up and that’s not good for accumulating wealth I guess. I love it when they crash and I have no problems to add more but I can’t quite do the opposite. What thought process do you have in those occasions?

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    1. depends on what happens on the market and on the strategy, the Model Portfolio on my research platform is fully invested and has been all the time.

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      Nᴜᴍʙᴇʀ Aʙᴏᴠᴇ*……………………….

  4. Hank likely says stupid stuff like wait til the volatility ends because he’s trying to say what he knows most of his potential customers want to hear rather than what they need to hear and most of his potential customers are terrified of volatility— otherwise they’d be investing on their own and coming to your excellent channel. Thanks for being one of the great ones and telling it like it is!

  5. Thanks for the great video (as always) Sven! What is your recommendation if you run into a lump sum (say sold an investment property) – how long should one take to deploy the capital? Even chunks over a year/six months? Or dump say 70% and wait a couple months and do the rest if the prices drop further? I know there’s no way to know the future, but was interested in your thoughts

    1. depends on the opportunities you have, on the risk and reward – impossible to answer!

  6. Volatility has helped me Sven. I covered my losses by buying China in November. And it is up 60 %. So yes you are right!

  7. How does the dividend plus buyback yield look for S&P500 compared to history? I know you pointed out the dividend yield is low but what if you include stock buybacks.

  8. Exactly! I am a tech enthusiast and semiconductor sector and tech sector is down. I just started investing (100%) last year and im doing 25% gross income on companies I understand and watch lots of value calculations on youtube to determine a fair value. Im in it for the long run and buying great businesses with great balance sheets on a 20 year time frame will ALWAYS yield great returns if you buy at a fair price. I feel now is my time to shine on the tech I know 120%! Microsoft, intel, google, amazon, adyen, asml, just eat, great growth and great growth dividend companies at a fair price now.

  9. Ciao Sven! Io dopo aver comprato molta Cina, perché secondo me rapporto rischio/rendimento attualmente è la realtà che ha più prospettive di successo, sto incrementando le azioni che seguo in America ad ogni ribasso: le mie preferite meta, Google, paypal, amazon , ma anche qualche scommessa come corsair e la problematica carnival.
    Attualmente se il tech America continuerà a scendere i miei focus sono incrementare google e valutare altri ingressi su Amazon meta e magari fare un ingresso secco su Microsoft o apple ma non ancora a queste valutazioni.
    Paypal ho un posizione completa a 100 dollari e sono convinto che quando ripartirà la bull run tornerà facilmente su questi valori questo in base alle mie analisi insomma.. Poi non so
    L’azionario Cina rappresenta attualmente il 40% del mio ptf totale. Io ci credo molto per il Medio/lungo periodo.

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