Berkshire Fundamentals Closing In On Stock Price

Berkshire's incomes are going up and up, thus the fundamentals are closing in on the stock rate which is what makes Berkshire a compounding maker you can't go wrong with.

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Berkshire Fundamentals Closing In On Stock Price

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38 Comments

  1. The best thing about berkshire is that if the stock goes lower (or the whole market does) not only you have the chance of buying more, but they will help you increass the ownership by doing buybacks.
    The same cannot be said for many companies, espescially the ciclical ones

  2. One more example of bisnis that is catching the fundamentals is Amazon. Free cash flow 15 months ago at a 100 $ price is the same as it is now at 190$ 😉

  3. Did Buffett say in the meeting that the buy–backs are the reason he sold a part of his Apple position?

  4. When Warren was saying the reasons for the sale of Apple, he mentioned the possibility of tax increases, I know there is a tax exemption in place in the US until 2025. There is a possibility that if it was not extended, corporations would pay 28% tax instead of 21% and capital gains tax would also increase. This could be an interesting topic for a video, to discuss the possibility of tax increases. The US deficit is huge and Warren may be on to something. It doesn’t look like the deficit is going to go down…

  5. Thanks for the video. Not sure why you got off the bandwagon and now back on it again.
    Yes Berkshire is a compounding machine. Just think brk starts buying back it’s stock at $40 billion a year.

    Or if it keeps compounding it’s profits. How long will it take for it to get to $80 billion and the $100 billion a year.

    Once it gets to $100 billion a year, Berkshire could easily by one or two companies in the S&P500 a year

  6. insurance profit and interest on 200billion might be temporary. However, I like how you correct your mistakes sven, honestly is crucial. I agree at this point it is an ok long term buy, but not exciting. Short term might be more volatile as interest cuts will hurt berkshire profits directly, if insurance competition rises then it might be a story or dead cash and declining business, with apple/buffett old age, low probability of collapse and quickly turn into house of cards.

  7. Sven you forgott the hidden earnings of the Investment portfolio (Stock earnings reinvested into company) – it is much More than 44 bil. Earnings for BRK

    1. we did the calculation already a few times, yes approximately 8 billion extra, good point!

    2. @@jonnes__4657 you didnt Look into q1? 11 bil earnings x4 = 44bil + about 8 bil hidden earnings = ~52 bil “real” earnings. But still a bit too expansive at this level

  8. Isn’t Warren’s age a factor in the risk management analysis of BRK? Thanks for the video Sven.

    1. Warren dying will not effect earnings. There will surely be a drop in stock price in the short term but the fundamentals won’t change, at least for years.

  9. There has been a massive opportunity cost over the last 15 years with Buffett carrying excessive amounts of cash. It seems mathematically impossible to outperform the S&P 500 over the next 3-5 years with that much cash.

    1. but investing is about risk first, not outperforming :-)) That is the difference between Buffett and the rest!!!

    2. @@Value-Investing I have held Berkshire shares since 2000, and I’m about dead even with the S&P 500. So yes, Berkshire is very low risk, with lower returns. Similar to a Target Retirement mutual fund.

  10. Hi Sven! Great video as always. Do you recommend Dollar Cost Averaging in until the price drops? I have a position already but want to be more consistant.

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