ATVI Stock Analysis – Merger Arbitrage Opportunity – 23% In 12 Months

or provides the possibility of merger arbitrage if you buy from time to time sell to Microsoft at their deal of $95. The only problems are possible FTC problems because Bill has the money.

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2:06 Merger Arbitrage
3:06 ATVI Merger
3:29 Key Threat
4:45 Activision Service
7:19 ATVI Stock Evaluation
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ATVI Stock Analysis – Merger Arbitrage Opportunity – 23% In 12 Months

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53 Comments

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  1. If the deal falls through Microsoft has to pay activision 3 billion dollars. Not massive but it’s something

    1. I dont know how will it fail..microsoft needs it..atvi wants it..only regulatory issues but i dont see that either

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  2. Locking money in this arbitrage is waste of cash when markets go down. Much better opportunities everywhere.

    1. The way this market has been recently we don’t know if it’ll continue to go down. I think it’s a good deal. Im hoping the market isn’t overvalued if/when this pays off and I can roll the gains into something else. I suppose it depends on what you think you can do with your capital over the next year. Things are down but not down enough to get too excited in my opinion.

    2. “waste of cash”…..? A high probability 20% gain… How do you know for a fact that we may not be in a year + long bear market.. Someone could be making a 20% quick and easy gain and the main stock Market could be even lower than it is today. So again how’s it a waste of cash in that environment?

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    4. @BaileyMx Stock market long term average return is about 8%, only the best of the best average 20%, Sven himself does not average 20%, so 23% seems pretty good to me if you believe the deal will close (which I do) and you eliminate “bear market risk” it can be viewed as a form of diversification.

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  5. Hi Sven can you give your thoughts on addyy adidas. German company so affected by the war but a global company with a strong brand. P/E ratio 16s with peg ratio well under 1, price to free cash flow around 13. Compared to Nike far cheaper. Please check it out and give thoughts thanks 🙂

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  6. Buy the rumor sell the news.
    Stock is too expensive. Forget it.
    It bottomed at 58 USD back in December and is now trading at +39% on the news hype.

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  7. Long time Blizzard gamer – I do NOT want to own their shares, because they’ve lost their ways.

    1. Think of it not as owning their shares, think of it as Microsoft paying you 20% just to hold onto them for now.

    2. yeah they are really on a bad path always alienating long term customers, not investing in their ip’s and just trying to squeeze more money out of their customers. doesnt feel sustainable but the analysts like it.

    3. They don’t know what they are doing with their valuable IPs. Overwatch was their last good game released. Everything else was laughable. They announced diablo mobile that no one wanted 2 years ago that to this date is sitll not released yet. They just announced a clash of clan clone in the warcraft universe, which is once again disappointing to the fans of the IP. I think there is something wrong with management and the direction, which I think a merger can potentially save this company in the long term.

  8. Check out VMware (VMW), another merger arbitrage play. But the price shot up, so the possible returns are lower now.

  9. I’ve been holding Magnachip since before the failed sale and now it has another bidder. These transactions can take years. Patience is key.

  10. Courage has taught me no matter how bad a crisis gets any nice Investment will eventually pay off. Investing is a very long journey where our temperament gets tested, we really need to change our approach towards the market, many are SOFT (Selling Outta Frustration & Tension)

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  12. Hello, the topic of this video is very good. Are you on Telegram? I want to communicate with you about something.

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