There are two kinds of forecasters, those that know they do not understand and those that don't understand they do not know. I understand I don't understand, so all that I can do is to be prepared.
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Ich bin immer wieder erstaunt über die Vielfalt der in diesem Thread geteilten Perspektiven. Es ist, als würde man in ein Kaleidoskop von Ideen blicken.🐱
Einverstanden
I’m happy with my portfolio too. Since my retirement is still about 19yrs in the future i would very much appreciate a declining market beginning next monday 🙂
When asked if the market will go up or down the only correct answer is “yes” 😉
Wait, is this a Sven impersonator? He didn’t start with “Good day fellow investors!”!?!
I want my money back!!!
i thought the same lol. AI took over Sven.
please sven don’t make this mistake again
I’d like to think that I am as ready as I can be. Just focusing on studying and cherry picking what I could possibly buy with my cash if markets crash.
Can you do a video on WP Carey? Their shares have been crashing since interest rates went up, strong dividend and business still
I really like the Buffett quotes Sven.
That’s for posting
The only investors who need to get worried about markets are those who invest with very diversified portfolios.
But if an investor is going to do it in the style of Charlie Munger ehose portfolio was very concentrated, it wouldn’t matter if the market is up for 2 decades or down for 2 decades.
It’s because in a concentrated way of investing, you will always find and put most of your capital in a company whose price is so low even if the whole market is up, and you will also always find a company you invested in having a very high price from which you could cash in and sell big time even if the whole market is down.
Digital silver in a digital age, litecoin is a digital precious metal, not a security. Litecoin is the oldest coin on the market after bitcoin, since its inception in 2011. The scarcity of litecoin is the key feature of its technology. Everyone tends to flock to digital silver and digital gold, litecoin, and bitcoin, when things aren’t going well. Litecoin is a decentralized digital commodity, just like bitcoin, but not even close so heavily concentrated in a few hands like bitcoin is. Both have Proof-of-Work consensus, and both have a limited supply of coins. Only that litecoin is lighter, swifter, and hugely undervalued against bitcoin. Litecoin (LTC) being a digital commodity provides a decent inflation hedge as well because there will be mined only a limited number of 84 million litecoins in total.
Holy heck, I never knew that 20 years was the length of time Japans market was down, I knew it wasn’t good for a while compared to most but damn. 😵💫
Can you imagine retiring in Japan in 1989 and seeing your portfolio go down 90% over 20 years. I don’t know how they did it. Probably lost the same amount with real estate there as well. Brutal. Could it happen here? Yikes.
I would rather compare USA to USA history. Buffets a hard one because im not trying to copy him because of how limited he is. He admitted now if he started over he would be able to 3x fairly quickly compared to today.
Yes, I am ready for a 40-50% crash. In fact if it happened next week it would still be a decent year for me. And no I don’t believe there will be a lost decade in US stocks after that. In fact, since I largely ignored Sven’s advice and platform (such as did not sell AMZN and META out of fear last year) and avoided some value traps and food stocks Sven recommended I participated in the “exuberance”. My counter advice is, stay invested in no-nonsense compounders, stick to your strategy (do not sell due to fear or buy for FOMO), diversify and have a cash position ready. It will be fine.
Same here
Trump trade: +10%
Carry trade: -10% 1 months recovery
Debt maturity wall: -25% 1,5-2,5 years recovery
Recession: -50% 3-5 years recovery
Sovereign debt crisis: -80% 20 years recovery
I ride on nvda, pltr and happy with 2x in a year while Sven doing his 5% and not beating the S&P500 😂
Luck is not skill. You got lucky. Very high risk in crypto and all things Big Tech in fantasy land. That is casino life. I wish you good luck. Too much risk for me at my age. Can’t risk a 50% to 80% draw down. Have to be more conservative as aging.
Boom is the sound of crash!
Treasuries cannot crash? What happened years ago in Argentina? What about US debt today?
US Treasuries are considered risk free.
One million dollars bought 50 new houses in 1964, buys two new houses today. Is that the same one million dollars? You may get your million dollars back in thirty years on a US Treasury but will it be worth anything? There is a currency risk since IOUs are worth nothing. The dollar is a one day, zero interest bond, with no collateral. That is very risky. I prefer gold. Just 10% of new worth.
What are your thoughts about Kina stocks now that Trump are probably going too set more tariffs?
Every year we think there’s a crash or boom. 🤷♀️
Fund managers said that in the next years (especially now under Trump) the small caps will outperform the large caps. Which means even if the S&P 500 doesn’t go down it will not grow as much as it did in the last years. You are better of value investing into beaten down S&P 493 stocks or even smaller caps than buying the Mag 7 now.
I have been taking advantage of the short term bullish movements for the past 2 or so years.. beautiful trades just buying the dips. Every single dip got bought up. I’m waiting for another pullback now. Far as long term investing, I’m expecting a crash but have been for the past 4 years…