Analyzing What the FED Says!

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Analyzing What Says!

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About the Author: Richard Money

10 Comments

  1. I appreciate the note on monetary policy being local. I never thought of it that way. In another observation, If the central government allocate funds, wouldn’t the central government have a bigger influence regarding economic growth? After all, its job is to allocate funds in the economy where is needed the most.

  2. Discuss JD in the 70s, ignore it in the 20s.
    Discuss WBA in the 40s, ignore it at 20.
    Instead discuss DOCU, SPGI… You can’t help but wonder if this is still a value investign channel.

  3. 2% is ridiculously low and arbitrary target.

    They basing that on some magical averaging of inflation rates over time? If so, is that including rates that were lower than 2% or even deflation?

    Less the last few years, inflation even during bull market runs didn’t average only 2%.

    Plus, even if everything was held steady just the rate at which people spill into the country, legally and not, would almost certainly cause 2% inflation as spending would always have more and more competition for the same goods and services.

    The 2% target reads like the Fed is being biased by a small slice of time from 2013 to 2020 and ignoring the rest of history.

    From 1933 ( to get past the deflation of the Depression) through end of 2020 the average inflation rate was 80% higher than the target of 2%. Inflation over that period was 3.51%

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