AMZN stock did excellent the last year! Nevertheless, business didn't alter much considering that and they say now they will successfully manage dilution. At a 1.5% dilution rate and a $2 trillion market capitalization, that is $30 billion, thus almost all of AMZN's earnings.
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0:00 AMZN Stock.
0:54 AMZN Business.
2:53 Dilution.
4:17 AMZN A Purchase?
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2nd !
Because I have insomnia.
:-)))
Hi Sven ,please can u update Rubis?
If you haven’t bought, you missed a nice ~40%, I bought it end of January, not sure if increasing the position now…
Update: The stock is up ๐
will do
@@danielegianetti5599 They are guiding towards 750m EBITDA in FY24, a decline with respect to a great FY23, but still a 7-10% compounded growth rate on any 5-year rolling basis. A 6% dividend and let’s say 5-7% growth going forward is still an 11-13% business return, from a business that still trades at 10x earnings (when up to 2019, it traded at 17x customarily, prior to surging and then collapsing). It was much better when the dividend was north of 9%, but it remains an interesting risk/reward proposition today: it all depends on what else you are watching.
Still worth increasing the position? With oil prices rising, the billionaire investor news, the sentiment is kind of a bit too positive …maybe some crap PCI data next week could cause and overall pull back day and opportunity for a better price.
I sold it for 160; Thank you, Sven. Unfortunately, I am investing peanuts at the moment and I cannot afford your payment service but since I following you I have made more than 60% profit on your advice on Nutrient, Amazon and Rubis. Thank you to exist mate.
Should have held
Great to hear!
Great content and clear input as always, Sven the best! ๐
Glad you think so!
AMZN is historically still on the lower side of its P/OCF at 22. Operating cash flow has compounded at a CAGR of 32% during the last 10 years, probably the stock may correct but I dont think it’s a sell.
Thanks for sharing!
I have to agree. Sven mentions the P/E ratio of AMZN quite a bit, but this is not an appropriate metric to value this business, due to the fact that Amazon has investments in other businesses. OCF is a much better metric, since it doesn’t fluctuate with Amazon’s stock portfolio. When it comes to valuation, using the P/E ratio indiscriminately like this is likely only to confuse most people.
Love you channel. Watch it daily
Glad you enjoy it!
The market cap is close to two trillion, not two billionโฆ.
haha, billions, trillions… one gets lost these days!
Love the summary of the types of buy you have been doing at the end of each video lately!
Glad you like them!
3:30 2 trillion*
:-)))
thanks Sven.
My pleasure!
appreciate the content!
i have to ask, amazon FCF was over $30B last quarter. you don’t think the yearly will be over $100B in the near future?
Last 12 months, not quarter
Good analisis… Thanks Sven
Thanks!
Sven, ive been a member since 2018. Id love to see an analysis of 3M’s latest spin off and the new company Solventum. Thanks for the great content
Thanks for suggesting!! Will check!
Great content as always Sven. ๐
Appreciate it!
Great video. Please do a similar video about Alphabet.
Amazon’s FCF will be over 90B eoy 2026. I suspect it’ll eclipse msft in marketcap over the next few years. See you boys in Sven’s next amzn video!
I think you are good in finding stocks Sven. But you have itchy fingers and are ready to sell whenever the stock price goes up like long-term traders. I found one great stock because of you AAPL and I still own it! Remember when you wrote that article many years ago but then you sold a year later? AMZN I bought in 70s. Still own it. I rarely sell my core positions since these are great businesses. They may look overvalued now but the fundamentals will eventually catch up. I think that’s the reason you’ve never enjoyed a true 10x or 100x because you sell after 50% to 100% gain.
I agree 100% with you. Sven plays too much with valuation and buy-sell. I prefer the long-term owner approach, where you just own the business, and let it ride. This is the way big wealth is generated. I still regret selling Facebook around 2012 and not letting it compoundโฆ
one of the better videos I have seen today
I know its been discussed they have greatly reduced stock compensation for all employees. I saw some high level amazonians discussing their RSU stock comp has dropped nearly 80% from a few years ago, so future dilution may show better. Idk, we’ll see. Ill stay invested, company is growing and growing.
๐ฝ I bought some AMZN in Nov. 23 for a momentum trade — the stock was not expensive…. I was luucky, now it’s up 33%. ๐
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