6 of 7 stock exchange bubble factors inform us that Nvidia stock NVDA remains in a bubble. A bubble can last very long so you can't anticipate anything however long-term returns might not be satisfactory.
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I know before I watched the video. Just came here to give it a like. Thank you for your hard work
Loved the one about the guy got fired 🤣. I have some nvidia but I am ok. Is not that much. But not buying more… that strong buy is so stupid xD
“Got fired and started a YT channel, now we have to find him” hahahahaha is pure comedy but facts at the same time. Sven was so top through this whole video
Yeah, I bought before the split, so my average is pretty good. Just gonna sit on them. Turning towards utilities now which are also in the AI hype. But at least they are utilities, most low enough to pay a good dividend.
“Who knows, this time it might be different…” 🤣👌🏻
i would say you Sven are in a bubble
He is investing. If Nvidia does great in the future, he is okay. If Nvidia does terrible in the future, he is okay. Compounding slow and steady no matter what.
Meanwhile, every tech-obsessed clown out there is only okay in one scenario, one in which growth stays strong in perpetuity, margins stay wide and multiples stay idiotik. Ungortunately, there is not one example in history in which that worked from current multiples, so best of luck.
Hey, that’s me! Thanks! 73 years…oh well, my Südzucker shares are doing well today…
Generai AI has always been 20 years around the corner, same as nuclear fusion.
As a research scientist, seeing the stock market explode on the promise of a future technology that hasnt been proven yet has the words “ponzi scam” written all over it. Real technological development takes years if not decades of trial and error coupled with small incremental improvements that are completely unnoticeable for anyone who isn’t an expert in the field.
A lot of NVIDIA and other tech stock is actually being purchased with debt thru the yen (and other) carry trade(s), which despite what retail financiial press would have people believe, it is still alive and well
Doing buybacks at these levels is insane and destruction of shareholder value. They should keep the money on the balance sheet and do the buybacks in a downturn.
From another perspective, doing buybacks at these levels provides the necessary exit liquidity for smart investors who want to sell the stock. Especially insiders…
The same Ray Dalio who said we were on a bubble in 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023 and now, 2024? At certain moment in time he will be right.
Since 2008 it’s been very fashionable predict the next crisis or bubble. If you believe the market is bullshit you are just naive or inexperienced or a mainstream media. If you say the market will crash whenever you are a genius.
I am not a Dalio-Fan, but: You can be in a bubble for 10 Years straight 😉 …
Today the DEX in By-bit is lagging!!
I just done video to show that
When you are exchanging it’s giving you like 9x^
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2.5% daily return? Gtf outta here
Great video, great sweater.
I was a bit late to Tesla, and therefore in my case the stock has mainly traded sideways and I have not made much only about 25%, I continue to own the stock. You live and learn.
I owned Palantir from the start, and will continue to own it, in my point of view it is an established company, and has many contracts with Government, Military, Health, etc. I like and liked Palantir’s business from the outset. And will continue to own it.
You live and learn. I made mistakes in first few years. Lots of companies/investments did not work for me. I have wised up a lot since then.
I go through the account to see that they are making profits etc.
i wonder if you think apple or google or amazon is a bubble?
Nice sweater, Sven the man! You’ve been putting out a lot of content lately. Love it 🙂
I find the argument extremely absurd to say this time is different to the Dotcom bubble because this time the companies actually make money. Yes, they do but the valuation is just mindboggling. We started with PE, now where taking the PE of next years (maybe) earnings so it does not appear too absurd. Somehow people are willing to pay 3.5 T dollars for a company that made like 50 billion over the last 5 years, mostly last year. Yes this year will be good, but that does not justify the valuation by any means. This margin and this expentiture for virtually no AI profit and just costs for the companies is unsustainable. All this makes the way down so much longer.
Nice quick bubbling analysis. Thank you Sven. I hope many naive investors see this video!
If someone is new to this channel: Everything what Sven said to this date, came out as opposite. If you don’t believe me, go watch his videos from 2017,2018 🙂 So, if he says sell Nvidia, you should buy it. You can make a virtual watchlist with his all recommendations and do everything opposite – that portfolio will outperform the market with a big margin 🙂
Far to many value short sellers have joined the Long Only religion. Shorting Tesla and NVDIA has pushed toward this religion as well. Unless the FED gets serious about monetary constraint then there will be plenty of money around to fuel bubbles.