10 Stocks To Buy From My List (4 Hit It)

10 stocks to purchase from our stocks list! Here is how their appraisals move over time and how basic modifications affect their appearance. If I would have, I would select 4 of those 10, nothing spectacular, however must be ok long-term.

0:00 Intrinsic Worth List
1:51 Disney
3:58 Verizon
6:09 MMM
8:05 SBUX
11:00 Apple
13:37 Netflix
15:33 Google
17:48 Xiaomi
19:43 Salesforce
22:07 AT&T
24:23 Stocks To Purchase

Videos:
DIS –
VZ –
MMM –
SBUX –
AAPL –
NETFLIX –
GOOG –
XIAOMI –
SALESFORCE –
AT&T –

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10 From My List (4 Hit It)

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40 Comments

  1. Google is pretty below it’s intrinsic value right now and the lower it goes, the better it is building up the position. Great video 🙂

    1. @Max007 My intrinsic value from a 5 year DCF model is 3860, so personally, there is already a margin of safety. If it drops to 1500, then it will be a steal

    2. @Investing Lens that’s the way to say it 😊 its below for you VS it is below intrinsic value. I hope you’re right. My intrinsic value for Google is about 2100 and with the margin of safety i would want i would buy it at around 1500.

  2. It’s a shame that youtube statistic shows that exotic companies are not appreciated as much. I think personally most popular stocks are very commonly covered so there are not much mispricing so keep doing exotic companies please! Even if you take a hit, take one for the team sven xD

    1. @Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D. The “exotic” cases also seems to be the companies where you have the most insight to which is really appreciated. For example the commodity companies where you are able to do deeper and clearer calculations of different scenarios in contrary to the popular cases where it seems you are mainly putting in reasonable projections based on history to give us an idea of their fair value. Anyway, keep up the good work.

    2. I agree, and prefer it if Sven keeps on researching Exotic companies on his research platform, as it doesn’t make sense to pay for his research platform if he discloses all of those companies here for free on youtube. And to my knowledge it seems that is his strategy here.

    3. @Hai Tran i don’t pay for his platform and appreciate any stock he chooses to evaluate even if others cover the same stocks because he is better than most.

  3. WARNING: As the channel grows (thank you all for that), there are more and more scammers impersonating me. The only thing I am selling is my Research Platform and Book ​​https://sven-carlin-research-platform.teachable.com/p/stock-market-research-platform
    All that I do, the real links to my content are in the description of the video, I don’t give out my Whatsapp number and I don’t sell any Cryptocurrency related things! BE CAREFUL OUT THERE!

    1. Hi, really appreciate your work. One question about your calculator: Why do you use 2030 EPS to calculate terminal value of 2031? e.g. SBUX has 7.28 ESP in 2031, but you have used 6.80 (this is 2030 EPS)* Future PE to get the EPS terminal of 2031. Thanks

  4. Well if you look at p/s and EV/sales for Google it is just a Good buisness at a resonable price, not 2012 P/E best stock ever. 2021 earnings are probably not a very Good way to value.
    Good video sven👍

  5. Thank you for the analysis.
    When you did MMM, you put in the Dividend amount. When you did SBUX you used EPS. On AAPL you used free cash flow per share. Does it matter which you use, or am I just really confused.

    1. try to think which best explains the business as for value creation!

    2. @Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D. Ah, found your explanation on your website with examples from 5 companies. Cheers!

  6. Thanks Sven, another good video. I’ve already a position in At&T, I’ve recently opened a little position in Google (I’m monitoring it in order to increase it), apple could be interesting. All is related to the movements of the market. All the stock are good stock for long time investors. Netflix could be the stock with a little bit higher risk.

  7. Hello Sven

    How would you account for the negative equity that Starbucks has, and also the huge debt. In the video it didn’t seem to influence your valuation, and maybe it shouldn’t, I don’t know. But it would be interesting if you did a video on how to account for such things, since it is usually rare to see negative equity in a business.

    Cheers

    1. as long as the business does well, it has no impact, but just as long as…. so, yes, it increases the risk but not crazily for now!

  8. Very interesting especially the last bit where you have a “gun to your head” choices.
    Thanks for the very fun and informative videos Sven

  9. Hey Sven. Please focus on these kinds of videos on specific stocks as those are the best. Lately your videos haver been focussed on macroeconomic issues that are good but I believe stock valuation videos are more impactful and useful for your target audience, including myself

    1. I do both, a lot of people love those macro, so I do them, brings subs in at all 🙂 For detailed valuations, better check my research platform.

    2. Also people are panicking as stock drops. Sven macro vid helps to keep long term goal in mind, and also give some caution against following the mass.

    3. @SlimJim JimSlim Macro factors trump stock analysis. Vids like this are nice, but whats the point when the market goes bonkers and doesn’t care about valuation? I don’t want to lose 40% just because Im stubborn and pretend not to care when it crashes.

  10. This is definitely the best video format. And the in-depth ones. And the macro environment ones… All of them!

  11. Sven you really make great content. I very like the kind of how you talk seriously about chances and risks, too. Thanks for all 🙂 Greats from good old germany

  12. Hello Sven, thank you for the video. I have concerns with the Starbucks analysis. Does the macro picture somewhat impair the result. Most believe a recession is coming if not already here. Inflation is not diminishing and Starbucks may be the first victim of a consumer discertionary plunge. The staffing efficiencies put forward by the founder have very little sway in terms of staffing efficiencies. Firstly, the employees Starbucks are the most effecient in the industry. They are serving, cleaning, restocking etc, with no idle time. This is self evident from a visit to any store. Additionally, the have the headwinds of the great resignation or China’s idea of lying flat where employees are past a breaking point in their submission to company aims. Lastly, rolling unionization of stores would limit any abilities pivot. I am interested in your comments. I

  13. I have seen several people asking about SNBR, maybe as a result of a couple of recent articles on Seeking Alpha. It would be a good one to include in one of these video series.
    Ignoring the boom over the past 2 years, if they could simply keep printing their FY19 130m free cashflow for 10 years, assuming a terminal multiple of 10 and discounting at 10%, you already recover today’s valuation.
    During the previous 5 years, the company had been growing their revenues 8% per year, and their free cashflows 14%: growing their FY19 130m 10% for 5 years, 5% for 5 years and assuming a terminal multiple of 15, discounting at 10% you get 81, more than double.
    I need to look into why their debt has grown so much recently, but it could still be payed out with 3 years’ worth of pre-pandemic free cash flow. Other than that, it seems like a no-brainer.

    1. thanks for sharing! It is covered on my platform so I know it well, unfortunately can’t make a video on it! Sven

  14. I am adding MMM every month when the price is below $145 and all my friends call me weird. Looking forward to pick VZ at below 45$ if it goes there again. I think we match on opinions for 4 of these companies.

  15. Great list of stocks. The only thing weird is your 4 stock picks at the end. I don’t understand how one can pick Apple over Google with the current valuation. On top of the valuation, I work in AI and one can confidently say that Google has the top AI talent right now. Will that be relevant in the future? I would say so! Other than that, keep up the good work!

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