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The stock markets have been crashing in 2022, but have we reached a bottom? Here are 7 signals you can use to help you spot the when the marketplaces are all set to recuperate.
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What do you think? Have we seen the bottom of the markets? Is it possible to know when the bottom has been reached? In this video, we’ll look at 7 indicators to help you assess and manage your investment portfolio.
thanks for this marc very helpful video as always!
My pleasure, and thanks for watching. 👍- Marc
Is today’s huge increase based on US CPI a part of your factors of consideration that suggests that the markets are recovering or is just a temporary bounce?
It all factors in, but I think there’s more gravity pulling the markets down at the moment. We’ll have days like today, and I’d love if this analysis is wrong and we have a full recovery, but I just don’t see that. This is one occasion I’d love to be wrong! Let’s see how it plays out! Thanks for watching, Ryan. – Marc
@Brandon Beavis Investing I actually hope you are right in your analysis. I believe we need the lower lows of the markets and a real, but hopefully short recession to create some conditions to truly correct inflation for the long run. Low inflation is necessary for sustained growth in the markets and the economy. Unfortunately, I don’t believe the government has or is helping much in that matter.
@Ryan Maharaj The US grew last quarter 2.6% and confirmed its exit from a recession.Earnings have been better than expected in most cases in the US. Peak inflation was confirmed in the US and its been sliding since. The Fed is going to pivot rate hikes in the foreseeable future.
I do think we still have some pain in front of us. I also wonder if indicators are not being as reliable as normal due to the unique situation we have with a labour shortage partially due to Baby Boomers retiring without workers to replace them.
I’ve wondered the same thing, as to the reliability of some of the proven indicators. I’m also mindful that just when we think ‘this time it’s different’ we get pulled back into reality. Interesting times, to be sure. Thanks. – Marc
This was a day to sell stocks that you don’t want to hold anymore, IMO. This is a bear market until proven otherwise. Stay tuned.
I don’t disagree. It’s natural on a day like today to say wow…maybe we’re set to recover, but then when we look at the bigger picture it doesn’t make sense. A classic reminder of how thing are so unpredictable in the short term. Thanks for watching. – Marc
Absolutely. Dumped a lot of junk and tech stocks I thought were cool a while back and bought all discounted dividend growers. VZ, AVGO, VF, MPW, BNS. All kinds of amazing deals right now.
i had the intuition this is just another bear rally but i didn’t have any argument to build that idea, thank you for giving me the tools to understand it! btw when are you getting on Blossom? I’m sure the community would love to have some of your insight!
You bet, Ethan. Glad these types of videos help. As for Blossom, I just haven’t found the time to complete my account setup, but I will for sure! See you on there. – Marc
This is an excellent exercise and review. I would like to see it monthly until things improve. That will help me learn it and get it all figured out. Thanks!
Thanks, Arden. I’m planning to update regularly. – Marc
@Brandon Beavis Investing It would be a very good idea, I would love to see a monthly review!
I concur.. great info, and would love to see monthly. Watched and liked, thanks Marc!
I agree! Monthly would be great
THANKS, MARC!! These are so valuable, especially with your clear, macro-world explanations. Downtown Vancouver. Thanks, again.
Thank you. Really appreciate that and thanks for watching. – Marc
Marc holds down the fort until Brandon gets back. Well done!
I think these market reactions are unfortunate. They hurt newer investors that haven’t learned to keep their emotions in check and invest based on the boring numbers (fundamentals). Even with this massive up day, the nasdaq is still down 30%. It’s good to remember the math of how losses work. A 50% gain isn’t the same as a 50% loss. A 50% loss is equal to 100% gain; 75% loss equal to 400% gain; 90%l loss 1000% gain. That’s why downward protection of a portfolio is so important as well as holding very little (<4% personally) in speculative holdings.
Thanks! The math you show is so often misunderstood. I think way back when Brandon did a video on these calculations, but I’m talking waaaay back. Cheers. – Marc
Great video Marc! Keep updating this regularly.
Thanks, Amol. Will do. – Marc
great video marc. thanks for the knowledge
Always my pleasure! – Marc
Quality content, as always.
Thanks, Joel. – Marc
Awesome series. I’m super excited when I see this series come up with a new video. Thanks Marc!
Thanks a ton. Glad to hear that. – Marc
Excellent analysis Marc. Much appreciated.
Thank you. – Marc
Nice! From a guy who has a significant cash position in his portfolio, this is much appreciated, sir Marc. Please do more of these type of videos if you have time. Thank you!
Thanks, and I do plan to keep these updates coming. Cheers. – Marc
Thank you for making this very educational video. I learned a lot, even if wasn’t happy information. Looks like we’ll be underwater for a while.
Sigh… Time to go back to preparing for my new career as a hobo. I’ve got the chalk marks down, but I’m still not good at folding a bindle. Guess there’s lots of time left to figure it out.
lol….. hobo??? Hang in there my friend. 👍- Marc
Love this series thank you
Thank you, I really appreciate that. – Marc
As stocks rise again I’m thankful for this video as I don’t think we’ve reached the bottom yet either🙏🏻 thank you for sharing your wisdom and going into the details you do – this is why I’m a subscriber and big fan of the channel
Thanks, Ryan. Appreciate your support and comment. – Marc
Great content, thanks for your work!
My pleasure, and thank you for watching. – Marc