TSLA updated by UBS from neutral to purchase cost target of $1100 based on expectations of $28 EPS in 2025.
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If Tesla can build the vehicles they will definitely sell the vehicles to maintain a 50% growth rate. The key is looking at how fast EV (of all kinds) are being adopted and then pairing that with finding a company that could ramp EV numbers. If Tesla ramps, then the demand is already there!
The end result, i.e., by 2035 there’s a federal mandate that all ICE car production be eliminated. So, “X” demand of a much larger/100% number of EVs in 2035 is greater than the “X” portion of today’s numbers.
I thought the $28 eps in 2025 was a mistake! Assuming all things go well and there are no more production hiccups, isn’t that possible next year?
$28 is a joke. That would mean only about 25% annual growth.
I do.
( I do think 2023 will see a return to highs [$1,200], given that we see a few quarters of four ramped-up factories, and why not, by the end of that year…) I only get more optimistic the further I look forward.
Not with a recession
@Ben Fyrth we’re in the recession now
Its game over for Tesla!You all go broke!
Your knowledge, research and information is always very enlightening and helpful. No sugar coating, just facts!
Tesla has been upgraded but we’re going into a major recession👎🏻 or should I say a worldwide recession with runaway inflation
I think people are overlooking there will be more than enough buyers of Tesla vehicles who can whether the recession, and they will still place orders. Recession or not.
Granted, but the world will not suddenly stop churning. Some jobs will be lost but at least 90% will be maintained so people will eat and spend less but integrated firms like Tesla, with practically no debt, will still be striving due to its exceptional strong fundamentals , its exceptional products and its leadership in the specific fields he operates. If a single EV manufacturer will be left standing after the recession will be over, that will be Tesla, because people will have always need for cars , and the competition is somewhere still lost in the fog, and probably it will be so for many years to come. I don’t think there is a single stock in the whole SP 500 listing with a better prospect that will exceed Tesla, without going in to all the details.
Fantastic video Dave. Your lists are concise and insightful. Thanks for always delivering tremendous value in under 10 minutes.
And that’s even while on vaca (in your car).
People are going to dump their gas vehicles and “bite the bullet” to get a Tesla. Who in their right mind would buy a new gas powered vehicle right now? They will have enough demand.
You are right, other EVs are going to become more competitive as well.
I hope people who can afford it and are looking for a new car would get a Tesla.
Agree
Bullshit,they will buy a nice practical cheap Fird Maverick Hybrid for 21K !Its the best deal you can get!
UBS was so wrong on Tesla for the entire run up. I hope they finally got it right.
Thanks Dave. Tesla AI day has been pushed back to the end of September I believe.
Great job Dave!
Timestamps #DaveLeeOnInvesting612 #TSLA #UBS #Tesla
00:15 UBS Upgrades Tesla, Inc
00:48 Tesla Operations Strong
1:10 Structural Competitive Advantage of Tesla
1:36 Many short-term price catalysts
2:02 Tesla has strong innovation pipeline
2:26 UBS on FSD (Full Self Driving)
2:43 UBS on recession risk
3:00 UBS on Tesla cash and balance sheet
3:43 UBS on Tesla deliveries by product
4:42 Dave’s take on UBS Tesla upgrade
Tsla AI day on 30th sep is gonna be super cool and lot of stuff would be coming out ….
with FSD and optimus Robot Auto margins could cross 40%
I believe FSD would be mature enough to role out in 2023. If it is the case, growth story will be exponential. In terms of FSD beta safety, it is already better than human driving on average data statistics.
You forgot to mention when they go worldwide with their insurance for Tesla cars I would say 90% of the people that own Teslas will go with that program because it will be cheaper so they have long-term profits from customs after they buy the car.
Why should it be cheaper!It will be more expensive!If not tgey will lose money!
There is a good case to own Tesla long term . Competition is probably BYD from China but Tesla has the name , history , reliability and resale value .Remember they are also building ANOTHER factory in China which will be able to produce 20,000per week after it rapes up . Then you have the possibility of a new site next to Giga Berlin , Possible plants in other countries e.g. India (where there is a 30% tariff on imported vehicles ) Indonesia .
Thank you so much for your hard work. This information is very valuable for a novice (under 5 yrs) investor. 🙂
I thought AI Day was postponed to late September so it can include possible Tesla Robot demonstration.
Considering the macro-environment affecting all stocks, this is the best time to buy Tesla stock! I wouldn’t be surprised if it doubles end of the year or even sooner.
Tesla stock dipped severally, resulting to about 23% drop in the value of the shares this month. I seriously need suggestions on how to diversify my $40k portfolio made up of volatile TSLA.
@Dominique Jones I was in the same boat as you a few months ago, but I was fortunate to meet a F.A named “Eileen Ruth Sparks,” and with her techniques and advice, I was able to enter the market aggressively before the crash. I’m still making more gains.
@Mark Sway How do I get in touch with this Financial Advisor you speak about?
@Dominique Jones Look up the name on the WEB, you’ll find her page.
Their reasoning for explaining away how a recession will affect demand is ridiculous. I generally find these kinds of reports are contrarian indicators. If you think Tesla is a great investment (which I do, but not at current prices), I’d suggest waiting for all the analysts to start slamming it and a recession to be truly underway. Buy at discount, not at premium.
Thanks a lot Dave!
Was there any comment or reasoning about the “Unknown new volume model” that UBS modeled to release in 2024?
Every other model in their forecast plateaus fairly quickly but this unknown volume model is assumed to have infinite demand it seems.
The
he is all about simple technique that are highly profitable, I really admire his winning mentality.
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